---------- Original message ----------
From: "Gallant, Premier Brian (PO/CPM)"<Brian.Gallant@gnb.ca>
Date: Wed, 5 Sep 2018 11:03:40 +0000
Subject: RE: Why would the Bankster Frank McKenna ask Gerry Lowe a
former union rep to run in the Harbour that is the heart of the Irving
Empire?
To: David Amos <motomaniac333@gmail.com>
Thank you for writing to the Premier of New Brunswick. Please be
assured that your email will be reviewed.
If this is a media request, please forward your email to
media-medias@gnb.camed ia-medias@gnb.ca
>. Thank you!From: "Gallant, Premier Brian (PO/CPM)"<Brian.Gallant@gnb.ca>
Date: Wed, 5 Sep 2018 11:03:40 +0000
Subject: RE: Why would the Bankster Frank McKenna ask Gerry Lowe a
former union rep to run in the Harbour that is the heart of the Irving
Empire?
To: David Amos <motomaniac333@gmail.com>
Thank you for writing to the Premier of New Brunswick. Please be
assured that your email will be reviewed.
If this is a media request, please forward your email to
media-medias@gnb.ca
******************************
Nous vous remercions d’avoir communiqué avec le premier ministre du
Nouveau-Brunswick. Soyez assuré(e) que votre courriel sera examiné.
Si ceci est une demande médiatique, prière de la transmettre à
media-medias@gnb.ca
---------- Original message ----------
From: David Amos <motomaniac333@gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 5 Sep 2018 07:03:36 -0400
Subject: Why would the Bankster Frank McKenna ask Gerry Lowe a former union rep
to run in the Harbour that is the heart of the Irving Empire?
To: "Frank.McKenna"<Frank.McKenna@td.com>,
"darrow.macintyre"<darrow.macintyre@cbc.ca>, "brian.gallant"<brian.gallant@gnb.ca>,
ddale <ddale@thestar.ca>, Newsroom <Newsroom@globeandmail.com>,
sugarhil@nb.sympatico.ca, "Bill.Oliver"<Bill.Oliver@gnb.ca>,
"blaine.higgs"<blaine.higgs@gnb.ca>, "terry.seguin"<terry.seguin@cbc.ca>,
rjspeer555@gmail.com, "Ross.Wetmore"<Ross.Wetmore@gnb.ca>,
shoreviewholsteins@gmail.com, "hance.colburne"<hance.colburne@cbc.ca>, BrianThomasMacdonald <BrianThomasMacdonald@gmail.
oldmaison <oldmaison@yahoo.com>, andre <andre@jafaust.com>,
jbosnitch <jbosnitch@gmail.com>, washingtonfield <washington.field@ic.fbi.gov>, "Robert.E.Lighthizer"<Robert.E.Lighthizer@ustr.eop.
"Chrystia.Freeland"<Chrystia.Freeland@parl.gc.ca>
Cc: "Gerald.Butts"<Gerald.Butts@pmo-cpm.gc.ca>,
"Catherine.Tait"<Catherine.Tait@cbc.ca>,
"sylvie.gadoury"<sylvie.gadoury@radio-canada.
"Chuck.Thompson"<Chuck.Thompson@cbc.ca>, "dean.buzza"<dean.buzza@rcmp-grc.gc.ca>,
"maxime.bernier"<maxime.bernier@parl.gc.ca>,
"elizabeth.may"<elizabeth.may@parl.gc.ca>, David Amos <david.raymond.amos@gmail.com>
"andrew.scheer"<andrew.scheer@parl.gc.ca>, "David.Akin"<David.Akin@globalnews.ca>, correspondence@ustr.eop.gov, bjanovitz@ustr.eop.gov, jgreer@ustr.eop.gov, svaughn@ustr.eop.gov,
rlighthizer@ustr.eop.gov, jrvanoord@gmail.com, gdaley@nbnet.nb.ca,
bwwoodslane@gmail.com, dykfarm@nbnet.nb.ca, dejongfons@gmail.com,
kayepeter10@gmail.com, deniscyr10@rogers.com
http://davidraymondamos3. blogspot.com/2018/09/lets-how- many-comments-cbc-edits-after. html
If the election in New Brunswick ain't important why would CBC just
block my comment about Trump, Wllbur Ross and I? Why would the
Bankster Frank McKenna ask Gerry Lowe a former union rep to run in the
Harbour that is the heart of the Irving Empire?
https://www.cbc.ca/news/ canada/new-brunswick/saint- john-harbour-nb-election-2018- 1.4808144
"A city councillor for five years, he played a key role in
successfully persuading council to ask the province to repeal the
city's longstanding tax deal with Irving Oil on the Canaport LNG
terminal.
He decided to run provincially for the Liberals at the request of
Brian Gallant and former premier Frank McKenna.
"There are so many things that have to be changed and they all exist
in Fredericton," Lowe said.
His major concerns include affordable housing and fair taxation —
especially greater control for the municipality over taxes and
assessments and phasing out double taxation."
rlighthizer@ustr.eop.gov, jrvanoord@gmail.com, gdaley@nbnet.nb.ca,
bwwoodslane@gmail.com, dykfarm@nbnet.nb.ca, dejongfons@gmail.com,
kayepeter10@gmail.com, deniscyr10@rogers.com
http://davidraymondamos3.
If the election in New Brunswick ain't important why would CBC just
block my comment about Trump, Wllbur Ross and I? Why would the
Bankster Frank McKenna ask Gerry Lowe a former union rep to run in the
Harbour that is the heart of the Irving Empire?
https://www.cbc.ca/news/
"A city councillor for five years, he played a key role in
successfully persuading council to ask the province to repeal the
city's longstanding tax deal with Irving Oil on the Canaport LNG
terminal.
He decided to run provincially for the Liberals at the request of
Brian Gallant and former premier Frank McKenna.
"There are so many things that have to be changed and they all exist
in Fredericton," Lowe said.
His major concerns include affordable housing and fair taxation —
especially greater control for the municipality over taxes and
assessments and phasing out double taxation."
https://twitter.com/DavidRayAmos/with_replies
David Raymond Amos @DavidRayAmos
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/nafta-wednesday-advancer-1.4809633
NAFTA talks resume as questions grow about Trump's ability to deliver
Canadian negotiators led by Chrystia Freeland return to the table in Washington Wednesday
· CBC News· Posted: Sep 05, 2018 4:00 AM ET
Comments
Content disabled.
David R. Amos
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David R. Amos
Welcome to the Circus
mo bennett
@David R. Amos it's what politicians do best, make a mess out of everything they touch.
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David R. Amos
@mo bennett So do you
mo bennett
@David R. Amos can u spell feenix? how bout F-35? or maybe KM or TMP. now them's messes, all conjured up by a politician!!
David R. Amos
@mo bennett YO MO Perhaps you should Google David Amos Diane Lebouthillier CRA RCMP and KPMG
Content disabled.
David R. Amos
I am on the ballot in Fundy again if you doubt that this election may not have some sort of effect on the Yankee midterm election read the bottom line from this newsrag
This is from a story that appeared in the Kings County Record June 22, 2004
The Unconventional Candidate
By Gisele McKnight
"FUNDY—He has a pack of cigarettes in his shirt pocket, a chain on his wallet, a beard at least a foot long, 60 motorcycles and a cell phone that rings to the tune of "Yankee Doodle."
Meet the latest addition to the Fundy ballot—David Amos. The independent candidate lives in Milton, Massachusetts with his wife and two children, but his place of residence does not stop him from
running for office in Canada."
"Amos, 52, is running for political office because of his dissatisfaction with politicians. "I've become aware of much corruption involving our two countries," he said. "The only way to fix corruption is in the political forum."
"What he's fighting for is the discussion of issues – tainted blood, the exploitation of the Maritimes' gas and oil reserves and NAFTA, to name a few.
"The political issues in the Maritimes involve the three Fs – fishing, farming and forestry, but they forget foreign issues," he said. "I'm death on NAFTA, the back room deals and free trade. I say chuck it (NAFTA) out the window.
NAFTA is the North American Free Trade Agreement which allows an easier flow of goods between Canada, the United States and Mexico."
This is from a story that appeared in the Kings County Record June 22, 2004
The Unconventional Candidate
By Gisele McKnight
"FUNDY—He has a pack of cigarettes in his shirt pocket, a chain on his wallet, a beard at least a foot long, 60 motorcycles and a cell phone that rings to the tune of "Yankee Doodle."
Meet the latest addition to the Fundy ballot—David Amos. The independent candidate lives in Milton, Massachusetts with his wife and two children, but his place of residence does not stop him from
running for office in Canada."
"Amos, 52, is running for political office because of his dissatisfaction with politicians. "I've become aware of much corruption involving our two countries," he said. "The only way to fix corruption is in the political forum."
"What he's fighting for is the discussion of issues – tainted blood, the exploitation of the Maritimes' gas and oil reserves and NAFTA, to name a few.
"The political issues in the Maritimes involve the three Fs – fishing, farming and forestry, but they forget foreign issues," he said. "I'm death on NAFTA, the back room deals and free trade. I say chuck it (NAFTA) out the window.
NAFTA is the North American Free Trade Agreement which allows an easier flow of goods between Canada, the United States and Mexico."
mo bennett
@David R. Amos no applause, folks, just throw money. politicians and wanna beez love that. and don't forget entitlements.
David R. Amos
@mo bennett YO MO Perhaps you should attend my debate in Fundy tonight we can argue toe to toe
Content disabled.
David R. Amos
If the election in New Brunswick ain't important why would CBC just block my comment about Trump, Wllbur Ross and I? Why would the Bankster Frank McKenna ask Gerry Lowe a former union rep to run in the Harbour that is the heart of the Irving Empire?
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/saint-john-harbour-nb-election-2018-1.4808144
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/saint-john-harbour-nb-election-2018-1.4808144
"A city councillor for five years, he played a key role in successfully persuading council to ask the province to repeal the city's longstanding tax deal with Irving Oil on the Canaport LNG terminal.
He decided to run provincially for the Liberals at the request of Brian Gallant and former premier Frank McKenna.
"There are so many things that have to be changed and they all exist in Fredericton," Lowe said.
His major concerns include affordable housing and fair taxation — especially greater control for the municipality over taxes and assessments and phasing out double taxation."
Alex Matheson
Canada has taken the high road and Trump has taken the low road. Mexico folded like a cheap suit. Canada is showing the Americans and Mexicans how true democracy is supposed to work. Respect and honor are not just words. Our negotiators are walking the talk. Canadians should be proud (I believe they are) of our countries stance throughout these negotiations.
David Allan
@Don King
Mexico rushed a deal during their lame duck period at the behest of Trump. I have little faith in a deal negotiated by an administration that can never be held accountable.
Mexico rushed a deal during their lame duck period at the behest of Trump. I have little faith in a deal negotiated by an administration that can never be held accountable.
David R. Amos
@David Allan "I have little faith in a deal negotiated by an administration that can never be held accountable."
Nobody should
Nobody should
mo bennett
Dear Justin Trudeau: you have my blessing! go for the throat !
David R. Amos
@mo bennett YO MO Whereas everything in Heaven and Hell and even in the Circus call the US Congress and the governments of the other former 3 Amigos. Methinks these three quotes from the "News" the other day say enough and its truly amazing that I agree with all 3 statements of my political foes N'esy Pas?
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/nafta-canada-trump-trudeau-twitter-1.4807836
"Remember, NAFTA was one of the WORST Trade Deals ever made. The U.S. lost thousands of businesses and millions of jobs. We were far better off before NAFTA - should never have been signed. Even the Vat Tax was not accounted for. We make new deal or go back to pre-NAFTA!"
"Both Republicans and Democrats have objected to a straight up bilateral deal with Mexico. Republican Senate Majority Whip John Cornyn was quoted by the American media on Wednesday saying that, without Canada, it would, "reduce the likelihood that it would actually be approved."
"A spokesperson for the prime minister was asked for comment on the threats, but declined to address them directly.
"As we've said all week, we're working toward a modernized NAFTA, a modernized NAFTA that will be good for Canada and the middle class," said Cameron Ahmad. "We will only sign a good deal and we will not negotiate in public."
Under NAFTA's withdrawal rules, Trump must give six months' notice to the leaders of Canada and Mexico, the other stakeholders in the current pact, for the U.S. to pull out. He also must seek the support of Congress to pass such a change."
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/nafta-canada-trump-trudeau-twitter-1.4807836
"Remember, NAFTA was one of the WORST Trade Deals ever made. The U.S. lost thousands of businesses and millions of jobs. We were far better off before NAFTA - should never have been signed. Even the Vat Tax was not accounted for. We make new deal or go back to pre-NAFTA!"
"Both Republicans and Democrats have objected to a straight up bilateral deal with Mexico. Republican Senate Majority Whip John Cornyn was quoted by the American media on Wednesday saying that, without Canada, it would, "reduce the likelihood that it would actually be approved."
"A spokesperson for the prime minister was asked for comment on the threats, but declined to address them directly.
"As we've said all week, we're working toward a modernized NAFTA, a modernized NAFTA that will be good for Canada and the middle class," said Cameron Ahmad. "We will only sign a good deal and we will not negotiate in public."
Under NAFTA's withdrawal rules, Trump must give six months' notice to the leaders of Canada and Mexico, the other stakeholders in the current pact, for the U.S. to pull out. He also must seek the support of Congress to pass such a change."
mo bennett
@David R. Amos so, let's see, yer sayin' ya shouldn't be allowed to defend yerself against the totally misinformed? glad yer not running for office in my riding.
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David R. Amos
@mo bennett YO MO Why is that are you afraid to argue me in person?
Bryan Atkinson
@David R. Amos
American mfg jobs didn't come to Canada. They were lost to technology and cheaper labor costs in China.
The US economy is the strongest in the world by far. And they're basically at full employment.
Only the most gullible of the base could believe Canada has taken advantage of the US when they've done better than we have.
American mfg jobs didn't come to Canada. They were lost to technology and cheaper labor costs in China.
The US economy is the strongest in the world by far. And they're basically at full employment.
Only the most gullible of the base could believe Canada has taken advantage of the US when they've done better than we have.
Content disabled.
David R. Amos
@Bryan Atkinson Perhaps you should read my lawsuit
Content disabled.
David R. Amos
David R. Amos
@mo bennett YO MO Methinks I proved my point in spades out of the gate this morning N'esy Pas?
Clayton Delaney
@mo bennett
David could run in any riding and when the counting was done be the only candidate with down votes.
David could run in any riding and when the counting was done be the only candidate with down votes.
David R. Amos
@Clayton Delaney Methinks folks should pay no heed to noname dudes who steal their names from a great old songs and songwriters etc N'esy Pas?
Bryan Atkinson
Trump needs something he can feed as red meat to the base. I expect Ms Freeland will figure it out without sacrificing Canada's honor.
But Americans need to realize how juvenile they look to the rest of the world. Time to fix their Trump problem.
But Americans need to realize how juvenile they look to the rest of the world. Time to fix their Trump problem.
Content disabled.
David R. Amos
@Bryan Atkinson It difficult to debate serious issues when most my comments are blocked
David R. Amos
@Bryan Atkinson YUP
Erin Wilson
Don Trump is weak & unhinged. No point in trying to negotiate as long as he's in the picture. Wait 'til after November when he's told to sit in the corner with his crayons all day.
David R. Amos
@Erin Wilson "Wait 'til after November when he's told to sit in the corner with his crayons all day"
I would not bet on it
I would not bet on it
Don King
There will be an enormous worldwide celebration on the day the orange headed one puts on an orange jumpsuit. Mueller is getting closer by the day as Trumpo digs himself deeper. Stock up on balloons and fireworks now.
David R. Amos
@Don King "Mueller is getting closer by the day"
Are you certain of that?
Are you certain of that?
Bob McRae
I'm not a big Trudeau fan but I'll give the guy credit for standing firm to Trump. I'm sure he's aware that Trump is just a passing aberration.; a distasteful footnote in history. Trump revealed his hand last week and proved he isn't bargaining in good faith. Even his own party knows that he's too erratic to be able to deliver a deal. And he desperately needs a deal to present to the American people before the mid-term elections in November.
Because we have no artificial deadlines to meet, the longer Canada holds out the more concessions we're likely to get from the Americans. If necessary, Canada should walk away from the table until after the 2020 presidential elections, while at the same time strengthening our trading ties with Europe and Asia.
Because we have no artificial deadlines to meet, the longer Canada holds out the more concessions we're likely to get from the Americans. If necessary, Canada should walk away from the table until after the 2020 presidential elections, while at the same time strengthening our trading ties with Europe and Asia.
David R. Amos
@Bob McRae "he desperately needs a deal to present to the American people before the mid-term elections in November. "
YUP
YUP
Bryan Atkinson
59% of Americans believe Trump committed an impeachable offense.
This is a man who's trying to get re elected, not negotiate in good faith.
This is a man who's trying to get re elected, not negotiate in good faith.
David Allan
@Bryan Atkinson
59% of Americans don't know that there's no such thing as an impeachable offense.
59% of Americans don't know that there's no such thing as an impeachable offense.
David R. Amos
@David Allan True
Andrew McLaren
Trump is incapable of contributing toward honest negotiations, making any attempt worthless for all parties concerned. NAFTA is all about integrated and multiplayer trading, and in no part can it be premised on falsehoods, extortionately punitive shock tarriffs, or kangaroo court tactics.
Shawn Cantin
@Don King while I agree he is comically corrupt and likely has broken laws before becoming president, that kind of comment isn’t constructive when trying to bring around previous Trump supporters to seeing that.
David R. Amos
@Shawn Cantin I agree
Dwight Williams
Stay the course, Mr. Prime Minister.
Wait for the mid-term elections.
Deal with someone sane afterward.
Wait for the mid-term elections.
Deal with someone sane afterward.
David R. Amos
@Dwight Williams I concur
Joseph Cluster
Sure we have supply-managed agriculture sectors which insures a stable market price for the farmer and protects the consumer from crap that the US allows into the stream of products. The US props up the dairy industry in the tune of $22.2 billion in direct and indirect subsidies to the dairy sector in 2015.
So for every 1% we give-let them take off $1 Billion off the table for subsides.
So for every 1% we give-let them take off $1 Billion off the table for subsides.
David R. Amos
@Joseph Cluster Good point
https://twitter.com/DavidRayAmos/with_replies
David Raymond Amos @DavidRayAmos
https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/midterm-elections-us-how-they-work-why-important-whats-at-stake-1.4755823
2018 U.S. midterms: A primer on why November's elections matter
This fall, Americans choose who controls Congress for the next 2 years
· CBC News· Posted: Sep 04, 2018 4:00 AM ET
Comments after editing out and blocking many of mine
Commenting is now closed for this story.
I made it a point to make the first and last comments in the story before I go to my first debate in this election in Fundy
I made it a point to make the first and last comments in the story before I go to my first debate in this election in Fundy
David R. Amos
Does Canada have a stake in this?
Of course Hence this article
Of course Hence this article
John Mestills
@David R. Amos
And?
And?
David R. Amos
@John Mestills Methinks you should have read my other 14 comments before they were deleted N'esy Pas?
J. Allen Murray
@David R. Amos
why?
so you can entertain us with your tales and adventures in losing elections and how you exposed the corruption in the USA and Canada , single handed, while posting non stop on social media??
why?
so you can entertain us with your tales and adventures in losing elections and how you exposed the corruption in the USA and Canada , single handed, while posting non stop on social media??
mo bennett
@J. Allen Murray nice shot!
David R. Amos
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/nafta-canada-trump-trudeau-twitter-1.4807836
"Remember, NAFTA was one of the WORST Trade Deals ever made. The U.S. lost thousands of businesses and millions of jobs. We were far better off before NAFTA - should never have been signed. Even the Vat Tax was not accounted for. We make new deal or go back to pre-NAFTA!"
"Both Republicans and Democrats have objected to a straight up bilateral deal with Mexico. Republican Senate Majority Whip John Cornyn was quoted by the American media on Wednesday saying that, without Canada, it would, "reduce the likelihood that it would actually be approved."
"A spokesperson for the prime minister was asked for comment on the threats, but declined to address them directly.
"As we've said all week, we're working toward a modernized NAFTA, a modernized NAFTA that will be good for Canada and the middle class," said Cameron Ahmad. "We will only sign a good deal and we will not negotiate in public."
Under NAFTA's withdrawal rules, Trump must give six months' notice to the leaders of Canada and Mexico, the other stakeholders in the current pact, for the U.S. to pull out. He also must seek the support of Congress to pass such a change."
Gale Leitch
Perhaps the Russians are working for Trump, despite Trump's claims they are working for the Democrats.
Bruce Strongarm
@Gale Leitch
Not perhaps. For sure
Not perhaps. For sure
Jay Baruchel
@Bruce Strongarm - Based on zero facts.
If Trump and Putin are in bed together, why are Trump's Russia sanctions approximately five times harsher than Obama's? Why is Trump arming the Ukrainians, who are fighting against Russians? Why did US fighter jets bomb Russian troops in Syria?
You gots words but I gots facts.
If Trump and Putin are in bed together, why are Trump's Russia sanctions approximately five times harsher than Obama's? Why is Trump arming the Ukrainians, who are fighting against Russians? Why did US fighter jets bomb Russian troops in Syria?
You gots words but I gots facts.
J. Allen Murray
@Jay Baruchel
the Mueller investigation is not going away and so far even the tiniest branch of the trump tree , when shaken by the law, finds Russians and crooks falling out, and the trump cults stories changing daily..
the Mueller investigation is not going away and so far even the tiniest branch of the trump tree , when shaken by the law, finds Russians and crooks falling out, and the trump cults stories changing daily..
David R. Amos
Perhaps folks should Google the following as well
Trump Cohen Amos NAFTA FATCA TPP
Trump Cohen Amos NAFTA FATCA TPP
Content disabled.
David R. Amos
I am on the ballot in Fundy again if you doubt that this election may not have some sort of effect on the Yankee midterm election read the bottom line from this newsrag
This is from a story that appeared in the Kings County Record June 22, 2004
The Unconventional Candidate
By Gisele McKnight
"FUNDY—He has a pack of cigarettes in his shirt pocket, a chain on his wallet, a beard at least a foot long, 60 motorcycles and a cell phone that rings to the tune of "Yankee Doodle."
Meet the latest addition to the Fundy ballot—David Amos. The independent candidate lives in Milton, Massachusetts with his wife and two children, but his place of residence does not stop him from
running for office in Canada."
"Amos, 52, is running for political office because of his dissatisfaction with politicians. "I've become aware of much corruption involving our two countries," he said. "The only way to fix corruption is in the political forum."
"What he's fighting for is the discussion of issues – tainted blood, the exploitation of the Maritimes' gas and oil reserves and NAFTA, to name a few.
"The political issues in the Maritimes involve the three Fs – fishing, farming and forestry, but they forget foreign issues," he said. "I'm death on NAFTA, the back room deals and free trade. I say chuck it (NAFTA) out the window.
NAFTA is the North American Free Trade Agreement which allows an easier flow of goods between Canada, the United States and Mexico."
Content disabled.
David R. Amos
Methinks Mr Prime Minister Justin Trudeau the Younger and his adviser Mr Butts know as well as I that the result of the US midterms will be the harbinger of his reelection next year N'esy Pas?
Content disabled.
David R. Amos
Methinks Mr Prime Minister Justin Trudeau the Younger and his adviser Mr Butts know why that I was not surprised to see their propaganda machine block my most telling comment out of the gate N'esy Pas?
Content disabled.
David R. Amos
I wonder if the new CBC boss and her many lawyers have read my blog lately
Content disabled.
David R. Amos
David R. Amos
"Democrats are hoping their female and millennial supporters will be motivated by anger over the Trump administration's actions to contribute to a surge in support at the polls."
Methinks everybody knows Mr Soros is fueling the fire N'esy Pas?
Methinks everybody knows Mr Soros is fueling the fire N'esy Pas?
Mark Sobkow
@David R. Amos Oh, yeah, Soros is paying millions of people to post their bitter diatribes about the Trump administration from all over the world.
You go ahead and spout your conspiracy theories. No one believes them but people who are as delusional about a "left wing agenda" as Trump supporters are about Trump's blatant lies.
You go ahead and spout your conspiracy theories. No one believes them but people who are as delusional about a "left wing agenda" as Trump supporters are about Trump's blatant lies.
Mark Sobkow
Here's hoping the vast majority of Americans *turn out to vote*. They certainly make their displeasure with the Trump administration well-known online, but if they don't go to the effort of actually VOTING, then all the bleating in the world by the sheep won't matter one whit to the wolf.
Content disabled.
David R. Amos
David R. Amos
@Mark Sobkow "all the bleating in the world by the sheep won't matter one whit to the wolf."
Methinks the wolves already know this N'esy Pas?
Methinks the wolves already know this N'esy Pas?
Content disabled.
David R. Amos
David R. Amos
@Mark Sobkow "You go ahead and spout your conspiracy theories. No one believes them but people who are as delusional about a "left wing agenda" as Trump supporters are about Trump's blatant lies."
Methinks you may be one of the dudes working for Soros with Iggy in Europe N'esy Pas?
Methinks you may be one of the dudes working for Soros with Iggy in Europe N'esy Pas?
Alex Matheson
If ever there was a time for Americans to get out and vote, it is November 6th. Drag yourself there if you have to, but do the world a favor and pull the plug on the Republicans.
Content disabled.
David R. Amos
David R. Amos
@Alex Matheson Methinks the way you spell certain words gives you away EH Yankee?
Jeffrey Wayne
1. There is currently no proof of any impeachable offense and it would be a terrible precedent to impeach a President based solely on dislike of him.
2. The Dems would only have a slight majority in the house if they do take the house and I believe that a handful of reasonable minded Dems would also agree with point #1 and not vote for impeachment for purely political differences.
3. Even if he were to be impeached there will not be 67 Senators who vote to remove him from office. Trump would just continue on like Clinton did.
It will take till 2020 to get rid of him. Sorry to disappoint you haters out there
james fryday
When Obama was in office all you heard from the republicans was "checks and balances". Now Tump is in office we need "checks and balances". That of course means the Dems control the Senate and the House.That will put a stop to all this bully pulpit politics. Trump will go nuta!
Content disabled.
David R. Amos
David R. Amos
@james fryday "Trump will go nuta!"
Methinks everybody loves watching the elephants at the circus but they do not perform for peanuts N'esy Pas?
Methinks everybody loves watching the elephants at the circus but they do not perform for peanuts N'esy Pas?
Jeffrey Wayne
Trump knows why the mid terms matter.
He fears impeachment.
That's why he is lashing out at Sessions.
He fears impeachment.
That's why he is lashing out at Sessions.
Content disabled.
David R. Amos
David R. Amos
@Jeffrey Wayne What impeachment and why?
Gregory James (Political Junkie) @Jeffrey Wayne
At this point I highly doubt Trump will be impeached. 1. There is currently no proof of any impeachable offense and it would be a terrible precedent to impeach a President based solely on dislike of him.
2. The Dems would only have a slight majority in the house if they do take the house and I believe that a handful of reasonable minded Dems would also agree with point #1 and not vote for impeachment for purely political differences.
3. Even if he were to be impeached there will not be 67 Senators who vote to remove him from office. Trump would just continue on like Clinton did.
It will take till 2020 to get rid of him. Sorry to disappoint you haters out there
David R. Amos
@Gregory James (Political Junkie) I said the same thing with four words and was blocked Go Figure
Gregory James (Political Junkie)
@David R. Amos
I can sympathize with you. I get blocked all the time and can't figure out why.
I don't post rude things.
I can sympathize with you. I get blocked all the time and can't figure out why.
I don't post rude things.
J. Allen Murray
@Gregory James (Political Junkie)
heh.. sure.. we can read your archival offerings..all it takes is a click on your pic..reformed cons and trumpets, will deny thier very own posted
archival words..
heh.. sure.. we can read your archival offerings..all it takes is a click on your pic..reformed cons and trumpets, will deny thier very own posted
archival words..
Jeffrey Wayne
Not very many people would be upset if Trumps life was made miserable by a Democratic Congress and Senate.
Actually, it would be very fitting.
Actually, it would be very fitting.
David R. Amos
@Jeffrey Wayne "Actually, it would be very fitting."
I agree but methinks that is long way from impeachment N'esy Pas?
I agree but methinks that is long way from impeachment N'esy Pas?
mo bennett
@David R. Amos mitch and his repugnicants made obama quack quack during his last term, as the dems will do to 45 if they pull off the wynne! and you wonder why politicians are lower on the food chain than a snake's belly? and payback is always a beach, messy paws?
David R. Amos
@mo bennett YO MO Methinks you forgot that I am on the ballot again in Fundy N'esy Pas?
mo bennett
@David R. Amos tryin' to go gravy trainer again, eh?
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David R. Amos
David R. Amos
@mo bennett Wrong I am about to sue the Crown again Clearly you don't read what I post N'esy Pas?
Don King
David R. Amos
@michael flinn "The American system of government stopped functioning long before Trump"
Mr Mueller and everybody in the know knows that I proved that to be a fact in 2002 in US District Court in Beantown.
Mr Mueller and everybody in the know knows that I proved that to be a fact in 2002 in US District Court in Beantown.
J. Allen Murray
@David R. Amos
oh please..you didn't and do not expose much but your inflated ego..
oh please..you didn't and do not expose much but your inflated ego..
Don King
What’s bad for Trump is good for the rest of humanity and the world. I certainly wish him bad luck and misfortune in the upcoming elections.
Ethan Beaver
@Don King
You care to articulate yourself instead of just typing hyperbole?
You care to articulate yourself instead of just typing hyperbole?
David R. Amos
@Ethan Beaver I understood him
John Sollows
And a lot of apparently intelligent people will talk about how well the stock market is gong, how the economy is humming, and how low unemployment is.
I say, "For now," remind them that when a good decision is made, it takes time for the results to be manifest, and that making ill-advised decisions for short-term gain leads to bad results down the road. It's amazing that folks have forgotten the lessons of 2008 so quickly.
I say, "For now," remind them that when a good decision is made, it takes time for the results to be manifest, and that making ill-advised decisions for short-term gain leads to bad results down the road. It's amazing that folks have forgotten the lessons of 2008 so quickly.
John White
@John Sollows
The stock market probably won't tank until after Trump's term. Assuming this is his only term, when the stock market does go down because of his actions the Republicans will blame that on the Democrats just like they are now taking credit for the rise in the stock market which was facilitated by Democratic policies under Obama.
The stock market probably won't tank until after Trump's term. Assuming this is his only term, when the stock market does go down because of his actions the Republicans will blame that on the Democrats just like they are now taking credit for the rise in the stock market which was facilitated by Democratic policies under Obama.
David R. Amos
@John White "The stock market probably won't tank until after Trump's term"
I would not bet the farm on your opinion
I would not bet the farm on your opinion
John Sollows
Everything I read suggests that the Republicans are likely to hold fewer seats in Congress after the elections, but predicting which party controls either house still seems to be a fool's errand. So it's as usual, with the party of the President likely to lose a few.
All things considered, that is appalling. America has indeed lost its moral compass.
Canada needs to continue its cautious distancing from this ignorance-based lunatocracy.
Sad.
All things considered, that is appalling. America has indeed lost its moral compass.
Canada needs to continue its cautious distancing from this ignorance-based lunatocracy.
Sad.
David R. Amos
@John Sollows "predicting which party controls either house still seems to be a fool's errand. So it's as usual, with the party of the President likely to lose a few. '
True
"All things considered, that is appalling. America has indeed lost its moral compass. Canada needs to continue its cautious distancing from this ignorance-based lunatocracy."
Do you really think moral compass exists to a politician be they a Canadian or a Yankee?
True
"All things considered, that is appalling. America has indeed lost its moral compass. Canada needs to continue its cautious distancing from this ignorance-based lunatocracy."
Do you really think moral compass exists to a politician be they a Canadian or a Yankee?
David R. Amos
@John Mestills "Are you defending Trump's political tactics?"
I answered your one word question hours ago and all I have heard is crickets since. The obvious questions are: Why so shy? and Whose political tactics are you defending?
I answered your one word question hours ago and all I have heard is crickets since. The obvious questions are: Why so shy? and Whose political tactics are you defending?
Ashley Zacharias
The bottom line is that either nothing will change, or there will be a voter revolt against the Republicans and everything will change. I’ll be watching my TV and hoping for the best.
David R. Amos
@Ashley Zacharias Me Too
Erman Vis
If the midterms can get rid of or limit the power of the three in that picture then they can't come soon enough. A religious fanatic, an ego fanatic, and corporate sell-out - three cozy peas in a pod.
David R. Amos
@Erman Vis I agree
Gale Leitch
If Canada closes a deal on NAFTA before or during the midterms, Trump will make himself out to be the US hero who brought the evil Canada to its knees. I hope that Canada does not make a deal before the end of the US midterms.
David R. Amos
@Gale Leitch Me Too
Paul Reed
I am anxiously awaiting November 7th to see how the Americans have come to their senses.
David R. Amos
@Paul Reed Methinks many folks are anxiously awaiting November 7th for a totally different reason N'esy Pas?
pat fisher
This is a critical test of the American people. The world is watching more keening than ever before.
Don King
@pat fisher - Are they good and decent people, or not? More to the point, what is the ratio?
David R. Amos
@Don King Who are you to judge them?
Kimmy Smith
Let's hope that Americans are awake this time. Voter turnout is so low in midterms that even a 5 or
or 10 percent increase from Democrats could make a huge difference.
or 10 percent increase from Democrats could make a huge difference.
David R. Amos
@Kimmy Smith Methinks that is a strange form of logic because everybody else seems to think Trump's Troops will be voting bigtime N'esy Pas?
John Sollows
@David R. Amos
Oh, Trumps troops do get that. It is a tragedy that the more sane segment of the population doesn't realize the importance of voting.
Before our 2011 election, I said, "Canadians will get what we deserve." The problem with American elections is that they affect us all. The world doesn't get what it deserves when they elect lunatocracies.
Oh, Trumps troops do get that. It is a tragedy that the more sane segment of the population doesn't realize the importance of voting.
Before our 2011 election, I said, "Canadians will get what we deserve." The problem with American elections is that they affect us all. The world doesn't get what it deserves when they elect lunatocracies.
David R. Amos
@John Sollows "Canadians will get what we deserve."
I figured that out a long time ago and repeated many times during the 5 elections I ran in. Now I am saying it again as I run in the current election in New Brunswick
I figured that out a long time ago and repeated many times during the 5 elections I ran in. Now I am saying it again as I run in the current election in New Brunswick
Kathy Altenhofen
@David R. Amos So, a 5 time loser. Do you ever wonder what you're doing wrong?
David R. Amos
@Kathy Altenhofen NOPE Do you?
carl tyrell {dit antaya)
What if the results of the midterm isn't what is predicted what if the American people decide to forge ahead with the status quo after all we have no horse in the race nor should we
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David R. Amos
David R. Amos
@carl tyrell {dit antaya) Methinks many would disagree with you about the whereabouts of our horse N'esy Pas?
mo bennett
@carl tyrell {dit antaya) then the american people will confirm they can't see the forest for the trump tree's!
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David R. Amos
David R. Amos
@mo bennett Have you seen our horse?
carl tyrell {dit antaya)
@David R. Amos I guess i have to qualify my statement...We would not want foreign government or individuals interfering with our political discourse and it is the same the other way
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David R. Amos
David R. Amos
@carl tyrell {dit antaya) I agree
mo bennett
@David R. Amos yep! it was following some damn cart all around the parking lot.
Mark Sobkow
@carl tyrell {dit antaya) Sorry, but no. Trump is damaging the whole WORLD'S economies with his temper tantrums. Nobody in the world can afford not to pay attention to the midterms and hope that he gets leashed before he can do any more damage.
David R. Amos
@Mark Sobkow True
John Sollows
@Mark Sobkow
" Nobody in the world can afford not to pay attention to the midterms and hope that he gets leashed before he can do any more damage."
Which is why Americans should listen to foreign opinion.
45 is making a lot of enemies for the U.S. That should bother American voters. The country is no longer one of the "good guys."
" Nobody in the world can afford not to pay attention to the midterms and hope that he gets leashed before he can do any more damage."
Which is why Americans should listen to foreign opinion.
45 is making a lot of enemies for the U.S. That should bother American voters. The country is no longer one of the "good guys."
mo bennett
it all boils down to how many stupid pills will voters consume prior to going to the polling stations on November 6th? just look at what happened in ontario on June 7th, where Pfizer reported a 2000% increase in stupid pill sales on June 6th.
David R. Amos
@mo bennett YO MO Methinks you must be partaking of some fairly bitter coffee first thing this morning N'esy Pas?mo bennett
@David R. Amos so, yer a big fan of doug and the slugs? OH! MY!
David R. Amos
@mo bennett Not at all but methinks you work too hard as a spin doctor for Trudeau The Younger N'esy Pas?
mo bennett
@David R. Amos that's hilarious!! obviously, you don't read my posts.
David R. Amos
@mo bennett Yea I do thats why I agree with sometimes but that does not negate the fact as to whom you write spin for N'esy Pas?
mo bennett
@David R. Amos all in all, it's just another brick in the wall. but that still doesn't mean politician follies aren't always hilarious!!
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David R. Amos
David R. Amos
@mo bennett You must have figured out that is why I am constantly posting "Welcome to the Circus"
Jay Baruchel
@mo bennett - Ah, yes, everyone who doesn't agree with Mo is stupid......how typical.
mo bennett
@Jay Baruchel so, you don't like the comedy provided by our beloved politicians on a daily basis. yer problem, not mine.
David R. Amos
@mo bennett True
Craig cook
The only true reality "show". And what a show it is. A Gong Show but with peoples lives in the balance. Mostly the vulnerable. Waiting for the next smack on the back of the head from a bunch of millionaires and billionaires.....
David R. Amos
@Craig cook Welcome To The Circus
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/trudeau-cultural-exemption-1.4806919
No NAFTA without cultural exemption and a dispute settlement clause, Trudeau vows
NAFTA's cultural exemption clause meant to protect arts, broadcasting sectors
· CBC News· Posted: Sep 04, 2018 6:15 PM ET Comments
Dave Robertson
Do NOT give in to Trump. He is severely staggered right now with a disapproval rating of 60%. He is desperate for a win with the mid-terms around the corner. Capitulation is not an option. Stand firm. Canada supports you!
Stanley Baird
@Dave Robertson do you want stand up (for your friends) in the media but not auto or diary? And why are you unnecessarily taking public positions ahead of the final negotiations - don’t you think the US will take advantage? The lack of strategic thinking is astounding and disappointing - haven’t you learned from your previous mistakes?
David R. Amos
@Stanley Baird "The lack of strategic thinking is astounding and disappointing"
Are you surprised?
Are you surprised?
Bob Cole
Excellent. I don't want all my media owned by massive US corporations.
Edward Peter
@Stanley Baird
What freedom will you give up for the freedom you want, it is a trade off, always.
What freedom will you give up for the freedom you want, it is a trade off, always.
David R. Amos @Edward Peter I disagree.As the old song goes ."Freedom is just another word for nothing left to lose.
Scott Gordon
Good. One must stand up to bullies.
Stanley Baird
@Scott Gordon you guys can’t leave me out of NAFTA, I quit! It is a tough negotiation and our team misplayed their cards and got taken by the US and Mexico. Call it bullying if you want to shift the blame...
David R. Amos
@Stanley Baird "Call it bullying if you want to shift the blame"
OK I'll blame you for supporting Trump's malice
OK I'll blame you for supporting Trump's malice
Jeffrey Wayne
We are a nation.
Not a state.
Not a state.
John Oaktree
@Marek Rudny
Ah, the semantics game...
It's almost as prevalent coming from the right-wing as willful ignorance...
Ah, the semantics game...
It's almost as prevalent coming from the right-wing as willful ignorance...
David R. Amos
@John Oaktree Its no game
Stanley Baird
@Jeffrey Wayne we are about to become an island, isolated from prosperity by incompetent leaders.
David R. Amos
@Stanley Baird Who is we?
Arthur Gill
Much as I oppose Trudeau on most issues...on NAFTA he has my support.
Chris Maurier
@Stanley Baird ..The Original NAFTA was not signed until 10 Minutes before the dead line.
David R. Amos
@ Chris Maurier The liberals spoke against NAFTA long before "The Donald" ever did
http://www.cbc.ca/player/play/2653709009
http://www.cbc.ca/player/play/2653709009
John McKay
@David R. Amos
They spoke against it in opposition... then got elected and rubber-stamped it.
They spoke against it in opposition... then got elected and rubber-stamped it.
Guy Czaika
Good. Don't give up our sovereignty to the Orange One.
David R. Amos
@Guy Czaika I thought he said he loved us
Ron Vader
If Trudeau stands up to Trump I will go into the pit with him all the way.....In fact I demand my Prime Minister stand up to and stop negotiating with such a vile US administration.
Brad Milton
@Brock Samson Stop. Just stop discrediting other Trudeau supporters by bringing up Putin at every turn.
David R. Amos
@Brad Milton Welcome to the Circus
Nick Charles
Yep. Stand firm.
David R. Amos
@Nick Charles Is the only option
Jim Payne
How embarrassing being a Trump apologist ...
michael flinn
@Jim Payne How embarrassing thinking his supporters are contemplating apologies.
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David R. Amos
@michael flinn You will never have to apologize to me I enjoy laughing at the buffoon.
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David R. Amos
@David R. Amos Interesting that CBC allows people to call Trump a bully all day long but if I call him a buffoon I am blocked???
David R. Amos
@Jim Payne Apparently not
Edna Knight
Hang in there Canada!
Marco Banino
@Edna Knight whaqt's shocking is at least one person, does want to Canada to hang in there.I guess they hope we fail. pretty pathetic.
David R. Amos
@Edna Knight Harper sold the Wheat Board to the Saudis so why can't Trudeau sell CBC to the Yankees?
NAFTA talks resume as questions grow about Trump's ability to deliver
Canadian negotiators led by Chrystia Freeland return to the table in Washington Wednesday
Canada returns to the NAFTA table in Washington Wednesday after a four-day break in negotiations that appeared to be pretty stressful ... for the American side.
The Trump administration's failure to secure a deal before last Friday wasn't well-received by key voices in Congress, where NAFTA's fate ultimately will be decided.
By the end of the weekend, the White House seemed to have fallen out with an ally it had hoped would back a revised NAFTA: a union representing millions of working-class Americans, now souring on President Donald Trump's ability to deliver.
As talks resume, the priority to-do list sits right where it was on Friday afternoon:
- Update NAFTA's dispute settlement chapters in ways that are both consistent and comfortable for all three partners;
- Bridge the gap between what Donald Trump wants and what Canada is prepared to give from the supply-managed agriculture sectors;
- Address nagging Canadian concerns about protections for cultural industries;
- Figure out how many of the concessions Mexico made to the U.S. on intellectual property are also acceptable to Canada.
Trudeau holds firm on Chapter 19 and culture in NAFTA talks
The tone Foreign Affairs Minister Chrystia Freeland set early in her public statements during the negotiations — a no-drama approach of working "intensely" and "constructively" and praising the "goodwill" of counterparts — seems to be holding firm.
Work continues to finalize the text before the next Congressional deadline at the end of the month. If all three parties remain serious about a signing ceremony before Mexico's government changes hands Dec.1, the negotiated text is due by Sept. 30.
Congress is the 'final arbiter'
The pressure on the negotiating teams continues. But since Friday's notification to Congress leaves the door open to a trilateral agreement, all sides have several weeks to work deliberately through the sticking points.
At the moment, the Americans may be facing more heat than those on the Canadian side. Trudeau's government won't face voters for a year, while Republicans are staring down a particularly difficult midterms season.
Officials said that, in the USTR's view, it should be possible to drop a country from a multilateral negotiation if its demands can't be met.
However, the official acknowledged that Congress is the final arbiter of how (and if) trade deals get passed.
That didn't stop Trump from warning Congress "not to interfere" in the negotiations, part of a series of tweets issued Saturday morning as the late Senator John McCain's funeral unfolded — an event to which Trump was not invited.
There is no political necessity to keep Canada in the new NAFTA deal. If we don’t make a fair deal for the U.S. after decades of abuse, Canada will be out. Congress should not interfere w/ these negotiations or I will simply terminate NAFTA entirely & we will be far better off...
Rosa DeLauro, a congresswoman key to mobilizing Democratic voices against trade agreements like the Trans-Pacific Partnership, said in a statement late Friday that "Canada must be a party to the final deal. A deal between the United States and Mexico is not good enough."
Rep. Richard Neal, who could assume the chair of the powerful House Ways and Means committee if Democrats win control of the House in November, said the outcome of the last year of NAFTA negotiations had amounted to "little more than re-arranging the deck chairs on the Titanic."
Republican senators like Pat Toomey continue to warn the Trump administration to not attempt to use the trade authority delegated to it for a deal unless it includes Canada.
Automotive math requires three countries
Bipartisan legislation stands at the ready to limit Trump's trade powers should he try to go beyond what a critical mass of Congress is comfortable with — by imposing national security tariffs on automobiles, for example, or by issuing an executive order to withdraw from NAFTA altogether.
So U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer has to not only come up with a deal that his boss wants (no easy task) but one a hypothetical future mix of Democrats and Republicans could support.
The math for the new rules of origin may not work without Canada. For the Canadian side, that's leverage.
Hurt outpacing help for workers, says union
On Fox News Sunday (a television program prone to flattering coverage of the Trump administration), Richard Trumka, the head of the American Federation of Labour and Congress of Industrial Organizations (AFL–CIO), said the supply chains across Mexico and Canada are so integrated that it's pretty hard to see how NAFTA could be replaced by a deal that doesn't include Canada.
Trumka said his federation — which represents over 12.5 million working class Americans, including those in manufacturing-heavy districts that Republicans need to succeed — is anxious to move forward with an agreement that includes all three countries.
Trumka pointed out that, while the Trump administration has so far failed to land a three-nation deal, it continues to pursue a high-tariff trade strategy which is hiking the price of both intermediate components and final consumer goods, triggering layoffs.
"Unfortunately, to date, the things that [Trump] has done to hurt workers outpace what he's done to help workers," he said.
Undeterred, Trump tweeted on Labour Day Monday that Trumka "represented his union poorly on television" and workers in America were doing "better than ever before."
Richard Trumka, the head of the AFL-CIO, represented his union poorly on television this weekend. Some of the things he said were so against the working men and women of our country, and the success of the U.S. itself, that it is easy to see why unions are doing so poorly. A Dem!
Behind the scenes, Trump cancelled a scheduled outing and spent his Labour Day making phone calls that were about trade, according to White House spokesperson Sarah Huckabee Sanders.
So who took the president's calls? It's unclear. It doesn't seem in his nature to ask for help — but he may need it.
2018 U.S. midterms: A primer on why November's elections matter
This fall, Americans choose who controls Congress for the next 2 years
It's a referendum on U.S. President Donald Trump. It's a chance for Democrats to steer the legislative agenda. It's a test for Republicans wondering if they should embolden their actions and themselves.
Any way you slice it, the U.S. midterm elections will allow voters to significantly change the makeup of Congress about halfway through Trump's four-year term. The outcomes could reshape the American political landscape ahead of the next general election in 2020.
Here's how the midterm elections work.
When will the midterms happen?
The midterm elections will mostly take place on Nov. 6.
They are national elections, sometimes described as "off-year" elections. The Founding Fathers of the United States set up a political system of checks involving frequent, rolling American elections in even-numbered years.
House members serve two-year terms, so they run in both "on years" with presidential contests, as well as in off years, without a presidential race, along with one-third of the Senate.
The way elections are staggered means that an election — either a presidential or a midterm — ends up being held every two years.
Why so often? Because "the founders didn't want politicians to get too comfortable," explained Mark Harkins, a Capitol Hill veteran and senior fellow at Georgetown University's Government Affairs Institute.
The idea is that holding frequent elections reins in potential "unbridled ambitions," he said.
Who's actually on the ballot?
Not the president.
The full 435-seat House of Representatives will be in contention at one time because its members serve a two-year term.
Aside from Congress, there are 39 state and territorial governorships up for grabs.
Why is the Senate on a different cycle?
Unlike the House, the Senate never stands for election at one time.The Framers of the Constitution purposely designed the Senate "to be more politically insulated," explains Linda Fowler, a professor of government with Dartmouth College.
Are the midterms good for presidents?
Historically, no. It's quite the opposite — a fact that Trump is well aware of at a time when he's unpopular in the polls.
"When you win the presidency, for some reason, you always end up losing the House," Trump said in May at a rally in Nashville.
Trump has also expressed confidence he'll reverse the trend. How many seats in Congress his party wins or loses in the midterms will be a sign of how the populace feels about his and his party's performance.
In 2010, two years into his first term, Barack Obama's Democrats lost a whopping 63 seats in the House, with the then-president memorably conceding it was a "shellacking."
Bottom line: The party that has control of the White House typically loses seats.
Isn't that good for the Democrats?
If historical trends play out again this year, then yes.
Consider that in nearly every midterm election after the Second World War, from 1946 to 2014, the party occupying the White House ended up suffering net losses of House seats. (The only exceptions were in 1998, when Bill Clinton picked up five Democratic seats, and in 2002, when George W. Bush picked up two seats for his Republicans.)
By July, Republicans had a 236-193 seat majority over the Democrats, with six vacancies. In August, Ohio Republican Rep. Troy Balderson was declared the winner of a special election after weeks of recounts. He is expected to be sworn in the first week of September, raising the Republican edge to 237-193, with five vacancies.
The number of "pickups" needed for the Democrats to win a majority in the House this year varies depending on whether vacancies are factored in. Assuming the Democrats hold all of their current seats, the most commonly cited number of Republican seats they'd need to flip is 23.
The progressive political group Swing Left, for example, bases its math on which party controls each seat based on the most recent election results. It assumes all 435 seats will be filled by the midterms.
Will the Democrats take the Senate?
Republicans have an even slimmer majority in the Senate (51-49), but the Senate changing hands is a long shot.
Of the 35 Senate seats up for grabs, just nine are held by Republicans. Democrats have nearly three times the number of seats considered to be must-win, as 26 seats are currently held by senators who caucus with the Democrats.
Another challenge for the party: 10 of the Democratic or left-leaning independents running will be competing in states that Trump carried in the presidential election.
Not only do Democrats have to defend all their Senate seats, they'll also have to pick up two more by flipping Republican seats to take control.
"It would have to be a real repudiation of the sitting president for the Republicans to give up control of the Senate," Fowler said. "It's not impossible — but it's less likely."
Will the Democrats take the House?
Their odds improved over the summer.
If the Democrats only need a 23-seat flip, the historic average of a net gain of 25 would seem to indicate they're likely to take over the House of Representatives. But in the last 25 years, the House has changed hands only three times during midterm elections — in 1994, 2006 and 2010.
The party is nevertheless optimistic. There's excitement about a possible "blue wave" that could sweep them into the House and the Senate.
"Political statisticians are putting the odds of Republicans losing control of the House at about 50-50," Fowler said in early July.
By the end of the month, Dave Wasserman, an editor of the Cook Political Report, was guessing that Democrats were 60 to 65 per cent favourites to prevail in the House.
Why care about who controls Congress?
As the saying goes: "The party that controls the chamber, controls the agenda."
Consider this year's backdrop of the Russia investigations, legislative battles over immigration, gun rights and health care. If the Republicans maintain control, expect reinvigorated efforts to dismantle the Affordable Care Act and another swing at trying to get Trump's border wall constructed.
"They may try to find additional tax cuts, to find ways to roll back the regulatory authority of certain agencies using the legislative process instead of the president's executive authority," Harkins said.
While Trump could veto a DACA bill, it might cost him votes among moderate Republicans in the important battleground state of Florida in 2020.
The threat of impeaching Trump could also rise with Democrats in control of the House, as impeachment comes down to a majority vote in the House before being forwarded onto the Senate.
Does Canada have a stake in this?
Of course. Take, for example, how Canada was hit with steep tariffs on steel and aluminum.
Trump justified the move on "national security" grounds, so Republican Sen. Bob Corker, a vocal Trump critic, tried to introduce a bipartisan bill to force the president to get congressional approval to enact tariffs on the basis of national security. He was unsuccessful.
If the configuration of Congress changes, one might imagine that the bill would stand a better chance of advancing. Economists would see that as good news for Canada.
Does turnout matter?
Yes. Democrats are worried about a "midterm falloff."
Turnout for the midterms in the U.S. is always much lower than in general elections; it was around 36 per cent of registered voters in 2014.
Registered voters who tend to drop off at the midterms tend to be: lower-income, minorities, less educated, younger, or female. That has traditionally been a problem for the Democratic Party, as older, white voters who give a boost to the Republicans continue to participate in midterm elections in stronger numbers.
Democrats are hoping their female and millennial supporters will be motivated by anger over the Trump administration's actions to contribute to a surge in support at the polls.
What about the Russia probe?
If the Democrats took the House and the Senate, they'd have the instruments of investigatory power smack-dab in the middle of an ongoing probe into Russian meddling in the 2016 presidential election.
"As part of agenda control, investigations are determined by the parties that control the chambers,"
Fowler said. "But if the Republicans lose one or both chambers, those investigations will become much more aggressive — because it will be Democrats looking to damage President Trump before the 2020 presidential election."
Congressional investigations are serious and each chamber would, by law, have subpoena powers.
"They could, for example, subpoena President Trump's income-tax returns," Fowler said. "I don't think this president fully appreciates how miserable his life could become if his party loses both chambers."
With files from Lyndsay Duncombe
No NAFTA without cultural exemption and a dispute settlement clause, Trudeau vows
NAFTA's cultural exemption clause meant to protect arts, broadcasting sectors
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is insisting that Canada will not sign a renegotiated North American Free Trade Agreement that doesn't protect Canada's cultural sectors — including the news media — or a dispute resolution mechanism.
As it stands, NAFTA includes a cultural exemption clause, which means cultural goods are not treated like other commercial products.
"It is inconceivable to Canadians that an American network might buy Canadian media affiliates, whether it's newspapers or TV stations or TV networks. It would be a giving up of our sovereignty and our identity and that is something that we will simply not accept," Trudeau told reporters during a transit announcement in Vancouver Tuesday.
"We've made it very clear that defending that cultural exemption is something fundamental to Canadians."
During the media availability he was specifically asked about the news media and NAFTA's contentious dispute resolution mechanism, Chapter 19.
Unifor president Jerry Dias, head of a private sector union that represents thousands of media workers, said he thinks eliminating Canadian content rules would be a deal breaker for the Liberal government.
"One thing Canada is not going to do is turn over our cultural identity to the United States. Can you imagine Fox TV buying the CBC?" he said."Can you imagine how that would go over in Quebec? So that's on the no-fly list."
Quebec Premier Philippe Couillard has said he will "forcefully" defend that cultural exemptions.
Trudeau's comments came as Canada's negotiating teams prepared to return to the NAFTA negotiating table in Washington Wednesday, after failing to secure a deal on Friday.The Canada and U.S. teams still have decisions to make on Canada's contentious supply management systems and any updates to NAFTA's dispute settlement chapters.
Can you imagine Fox TV buying the CBC ... that's on the no-fly list.- Unifor president Jerry Dias"We've said from the very beginning that we need a dispute resolution mechanism, like Chapter 19, and we will hold firm on that," he said.
"We will not sign a deal that is bad for Canadians and, quite frankly, not having a Chapter 19 to ensure that the rules are followed would be bad for Canadians."
Trudeau holds firm on Chapter 19 and culture in NAFTA talks
The bargaining teams are working to finalize the text of the agreement before the end of the month. If Canada, Mexico and the U.S. want a signing ceremony before Mexico's government changes hands on Dec.1, the negotiated text must be delivered to Congress by Sept. 30.
Earlier in the day, the Washington Post published explosive details from celebrated journalist Bob Woodward's upcoming book, Fear: Trump in the White House.
In it, Woodward claims that Trump's economic adviser at the time, Gary Cohn, surreptitiously removed papers from Trump's desk to prevent the president from signing them — including one document that would have signalled the president's intention to pull the U.S. out of NAFTA.
Asked about the excerpt in Vancouver, Trudeau tried to stay neutral.
"I think you know my approach on issues with the Americans is I don't comment on these aspects of things. We stay positive, we stay constructive, we stay willing to work for the best interests of Canadians in partnership with the Americans," he told reporters.
In a statement released Tuesday afternoon, White House Press Secretary Sarah Sanders called the book "nothing more than fabricated stories, many by former disgruntled employees, told to make the president look bad."
If it isn't, Trump has threatened to move ahead on a deal with Mexico, without Canada.
On the weekend, Trump tweeted that there is "no political necessity" to keep Canada in NAFTA and warned Congress not to interfere or he would terminate the accord entirely.Trudeau asked about new Woodward book
Earlier in the day, the Washington Post published explosive details from celebrated journalist Bob Woodward's upcoming book, Fear: Trump in the White House.
In it, Woodward claims that Trump's economic adviser at the time, Gary Cohn, surreptitiously removed papers from Trump's desk to prevent the president from signing them — including one document that would have signalled the president's intention to pull the U.S. out of NAFTA.
Asked about the excerpt in Vancouver, Trudeau tried to stay neutral.
In a statement released Tuesday afternoon, White House Press Secretary Sarah Sanders called the book "nothing more than fabricated stories, many by former disgruntled employees, told to make the president look bad."
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