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David Raymond Amos‏ @DavidRayAmos
Replying to @DavidRayAmos @FloryGoncalves and 49 others
Methinks everybody knows that I ran in the election as well Hence I have every right to dispute what CBC and their favourite "Political Scientists" have to say about it N'esy Pas?


https://davidraymondamos3.blogspot.com/2019/10/liberals-take-losses-but-win-enough-in.html



#cdnpoli#nbpoli 



https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/canada-votes-new-brunswick-analysis-1.5330468

Polictical scientists break down New Brunswick vote results

Other parties make gains as Trudeau's popularity wanes, and young voters exercise their clout

CBC News· Posted: Oct 22, 2019 5:24 PM AT






The New Brunswick electoral map gained a large swath of blue and an island of green in Monday's federal election. (CBC)

After a Liberal sweep in the previous federal election, the new electoral map of New Brunswick is a little more colourful.

Ridings in the north and east of the province, as well as Saint John, are Liberal red.
Ridings in the south and west are mostly Conservative blue.

It seems like a return to more traditional voting patterns, said J.P. Lewis, a political scientist at the University of New Brunswick's Saint John campus.

Lewis feels the 2015 election results may have been an anomaly.

"You had a case of a government who had been in power almost a decade and then you had, you know, the momentum of a very popular leader during that campaign."

Fast forward to 2019, Lewis said, and Trudeau is instead "a drag on the party."

"I think that brings ridings back to what they historically have voted."

Lewis said Liberal Wayne Long was likely helped to victory in Saint John by the fact he had challenged Trudeau on a few issues.

The overall New Brunswick results, Lewis noted, are "a pretty incredible mirror" of the 2018 provincial election results.

Conservative count doesn't match popular support

St. Thomas University political scientist Jamie Gillies was struck by the efficiency and inefficiency of the voting results — meaning the Liberals won more seats than you would expect and the Conservatives fewer, relative to the popular vote.

The Liberal vote showed "resiliency," he said.

The party won six out of 10 seats in the province and 26 out of 32 seats in Atlantic Canada.
The Conservatives recaptured three ridings in the province that were lost in 2015.

But they lost a tight race in Miramichi-Grand Lake, where the right-leaning People's Alliance Party had made inroads in the 2018 provincial vote.

"All the close races everywhere the Conservatives needed to be competitive across the country against the Liberals, they lost," said Gillies.

Gillies said Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer missed an opportunity to grow his party's base when he spoke after last night's results had come in. Gillies described Scheer's speech as vindictive and partisan.

"That didn't strike me as the right chord to win over over two-thirds of Canadians that didn't vote for you," said Gillies.

"That was not the speech to give."



Jenica Atwin won Fredericton riding for the Green Party.

Historic win for Green Party

Acadia University political scientist Erin Crandall said Jenica Atwin's win in Fredericton was momentous.

"It's a big deal for the Green Party to have a seat outside of British Columbia," said Crandall.
Lewis agreed.

"She will have … I would imagine, quite the voice in Ottawa," he said, noting Atwin makes up one-third of the entire Green caucus.

Gillies said it was less a vote against Liberal incumbent Matt DeCourcey than a vote in favour of focusing on climate change.

"That was overwhelmingly the number one issue among younger voters. And that's the largest demographic in the electorate right now."

But he also credited the candidate.

"Jenica Atwin won this riding because she's Jenica Atwin," said Gillies.

Her campaign drew support from all parts of the greater Fredericton community, he said particularly the four First Nations.

Crandall agreed it was an effective grassroots campaign.

"You can't underestimate door knocking and boots on the ground," said Crandall.







50 Comments 
Commenting is now closed for this story.
















BruceJack Speculator
Testing the content scanner. Which word is bad communist or dishonest.


David Raymond Amos  
 













John Smith
congratulations to our relected pm this went about as it should have gone in 100 yrs when climate hoax is made fully clear and we are paying huge sums in tax and have been restricted on pet ownership when we no longer have the right to travel via self owned motor vehicles we can look back and say half the country voted for it and yeah we will still be paying off ww1 with income tax then too


David Raymond Amos 















David Raymond Amos 
Methinks everybody knows that I ran in the election as well Hence I have every right to dispute what CBC and their favourite "Political Scientists" have to say about it N'esy Pas? 


JJ Carrier
Reply to @David Raymond Amos: You couldn't draw flies in this vote yet again...Ironically, when I was elected chair of the Chaleur LSD I got the same total of votes you got this time, but mine was 97 per cent of eligible voters and you were 0.62 per cent...Your running joke here is that you are one-sided but cannot even see the fact you need to move to English Quebec to be among your kind..


David Raymond Amos  

David Raymond Amos 
Reply to @David Raymond Amos: The first thing I wish to argue is Federal Court file Number T-1557-15


Marguerite Deschamps
Reply to @JJ Carrier: the honourable David Raymond Amos is headed to Ottawa given that he won his riding, n'est-ce pas? Oh, wait!















Claude DeRoche
A clear message to the Crown Prince of Bermuda:
"your days are counted!"


David Raymond Amos  















Tim Biddiscombe
Liberals have what is known as a strong minority. 2 of the parties in opposition agree mostly with the liberals and their platform. None agree with the conservatives.


David Raymond Amos  















Dianne MacPherson
Andrew Sheer lost this Election for the Conservatives
just by being Andrew Sheer !!!


David Raymond Amos  















Peter Pelkey
Looking at the NB map shows the language divide in the province. The French voted Lib. and the English votes Cons. This province is divided by language and no matter how much people try to deny this fact, it is still very real! As long as the Political establishment continue to favor the Red side of the province, that rift will only get wider and stronger.


Chantal LeBouthi 













Lou Bell
Time for Trudeau / Scheer to just stay home , do what they're really qualified for , and watch the kids.


Tim Biddiscombe 















Lou Bell
Campaigning for the next Federal Election begins next Monday for the mid January election !


Tim Biddiscombe 












Lou Bell
PM Jagmeet Singh ! Sounds Soooo Canadian !!
















Lou Bell
Congrats to the NDP , elected as the latest leader of the Government of Canada !


David Raymond Amos  












David Raymond Amos
Methinks these dudes are way overpaid N'esy Pas?


David Raymond Amos















Irv Millar
Premier Higgs. Kevin Vickers. Premier in waiting.


David Raymond Amos















JJ Carrier
The PANB not coming out in support of the fed Cons or the PPC was bizarre and misguided...CoR Lite is poorly run by the failed minister by Nackawic because his outlook breeds intolerance, like the PA years before CoR, instead of growth in impact...If you get three aces in your hand, don't keep five cards for the next hand, but three...


David Raymond Amos