https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/f35-canada-air-force-bill-blair-1.7216520
Canada purchasing 16 new fighter jets out of current budget, minister says
Defence department still expects to take delivery of F-35s in 2026, despite production delays
The first 16 of the air force's new F-35 fighters will be paid for out of the current federal budget, even though Canada isn't expected to take delivery of the warplanes until 2026.
Defence Minister Bill Blair pointed to the investment on Monday while defending the Liberal government's military spending plans before a House of Commons committee.
In testimony to Congress, a senior U.S. military official warned late last year that the delivery of stealth fighters ordered by Canada and other allies might be delayed because of ongoing technical problems with the aircraft.
Defence Minister Bill Blair told MPs there's money in the current budget for F-35 fighters, transport and surveillance aircraft. (Justin Tang/Canadian Press)
The F-35 program's executive officer, U.S. Air Force Lt. Gen. Michael Schmidt, told American lawmakers last December that the latest version of the fighter — known as Block 4 — was facing significant development challenges.
Because of testing and supply delays, the Pentagon's F-35 project office followed up on Schmidt's warning last month. It reported that the manufacturer, Lockheed Martin, will be able to deliver only 75 to 110 F-35s in 2024, instead of the 156 that had been expected.
Canada's defence department still cites 2026 as the arrival date for Canada's jets.
Blair testified Monday that the military's current capital budget also includes money for the new C-330 Husky transport and refueling aircraft, as well as the P-8A Poseidon maritime surveillance planes.
Following the minister's testimony before the committee, the country's deputy top military commander, Lt.-Gen. Frances Allen, was asked about the shortage of fighter pilots.
MPs asked Allen for specifics but she said she was unable to state how deep the shortfall might be.
"I would say there's currently less fighter pilots available than we ... would currently wish to be able to do both [NATO and NORAD] missions that we have today, and the training for the transition to the new F 35," she said.
In 2023, commander of the air force Lt.-Gen. Eric Kenny revealed in a interview with The Canadian Press that the branch overall was short nearly 2,000 full-time members and 500 reservists.
He warned at the time that unless things turned around, "there will be insufficient experienced pilots to effectively transition the force onto the F-35 whilst maintaining any meaningful combat capabilities in the remaining two CF-18 HEP II squadrons out to 2032."
Last fall, a study funded by the defence department — a copy of which was obtained by CBC News — said the country's fighter force was "in crisis."
The report by the Royal United Services Institute, a British think-tank, also warned that under the current circumstances, "there will be insufficient experienced pilots to effectively transition the force onto the F-35."
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Top soldier says military looking for 'clarity' on Ottawa's budget plans
Between cuts and new spending, military is being asked 'to suck and blow at the same time,' says Gen. Eyre
Just over a month into the new fiscal year and two weeks after the federal budget, the Department of National Defence is struggling to reconcile the Liberal government's approach to military funding — giving with one hand while taking with the other.
Gen. Wayne Eyre, the country's top military commander, told the rank-and-file in a remote town hall event last week that he doesn't have answers to crucial questions about how internal budget cuts and funding reallocation square with promises of additional money in the recently released defence policy.
"We're being asked to suck and blow at the same time," Eyre, the chief of the defence staff, told about 1,300 members of the Armed Forces who tuned in for the presentation. A video copy of his presentation was obtained by CBC News.
"We got some budget cuts last year," he added, referring to the wave of spending reductions announced by Treasury Board President Anita Anand last fall. "We're getting new funding this year. Reconciling the two of those is a bit of a challenge. The finance staff is working on that right now."
Eyre, who is expected to retire this year, told the audience that he's hoping to get a better idea of how the internal cuts announced in late 2023 will affect operations and maintenance.
"We have more funding in the future, as you know," Eyre said in a response to a question from the audience. "This year on the operations and maintenance side, we are facing some challenges. And you talk about confusion — I don't have complete clarity yet either, as the finance staff continue to analyze the impacts of this year's federal budget."
Eyre also hinted the federal government is weighing calls to eliminate some military capabilities that the different services — army, navy, air force — have said they can do without. He said he's asked the commanders of the various branches to come up with "tangible examples of those capabilities that we should put on the chopping block" and has received a few recommendations.
'Tangible' cuts coming, says Eyre
"You will probably see some — I'm not going to get ahead of some ministerial decisions here — but we are going to have to cut a few tangible ones based on advice that's come up from the services," he said.
The internal cuts and budget juggling come as the military faces a readiness crisis. Critics warn that it would have a hard time responding to calls for help from NATO in the event that international tensions escalate.
The new defence policy promises to invest an additional $8.1 billion in the military in the near-term and over $73 billion over the next two decades — but much of that funding is earmarked for future years. The Opposition Conservatives call the policy "aspirational."
A U.S. F-35 fighter jet flies over the Eifel Mountains near Spangdahlem, Germany on Wednesday, Feb. 23, 2022. (Harald Tittel/The Associated Press)
The federal budget anticipates a slight increase in overall defence spending this year and projects a 30 per cent increase in the next fiscal year — when the government is expected to start paying for big-ticket items of replacement equipment, including the new F-35 fighters.
Appearing before the House of Commons defence committee last fall, Defence Minister Bill Blair attempted to assure MPs that the planned internal cuts will be surgical.
'The instructions we've received from Treasury Board, and that I passed on to both the [chief of the defence staff] and the deputy minister, are that we are looking at ways in which we can eliminate unnecessary costs, but none of those reductions are to impact the capability of the Canadian Armed Forces or the supports that we provide to the men and women of the Canadian Armed Forces," Blair testified on Nov. 23, 2023.
On Wednesday, while promoting the federal budget and the defence policy before a think-tank audience in Ottawa, Blair said pressing the federal cabinet for higher defence spending overall has been an uphill battle.
Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland, left, and Defence Minister Bill Blair talk to the media during a joint exercise in which Polish and Canadian troops provide training to soldiers from Ukraine near Jezewo, central Poland, on Sunday, Feb. 25, 2024. (Czarek Sokolowski/AP Photo)
"I had to sort of keep on pushing my issue forward, about the importance and the need to invest in defence," Blair told the audience at Canadian Global Affairs Institute symposium.
He added that he's struggled to make the case for Canada spending 2 per cent of its gross domestic product on defence — a spending benchmark agreed to by all NATO members.
"Trying to go to cabinet, or even to Canadians, and tell them that we had to do this because we had to meet this magical threshold at two per cent for the NATO commitment — don't get me wrong, it's important," he said. "But it was really hard to convince people that that was a worthy goal, that it was some noble standard that we had to meet, because nobody knows what that means."
The defence policy projects the current plan would move the needle on the country's investment in defence from 1.33 per cent of GDP to 1.76 per cent. Blair is on the record saying that in order to meet NATO's two per cent target, Ottawa would need to invest an additional $6 billion to $7 billion annually on top of what's already been promised.
"So it's really for me, I couldn't go and make a defence policy argument to reach that spreadsheet target of two per cent," Blair said Wednesday.
Eyre said the debate over NATO metrics doesn't concern him.
"I don't care about percentage of GDP in terms of spending," Eyre told the town hall. "For me, that's an input metric. What I care about is, what does the armed forces and the [defence] department produce as an output metric, which is capabilities and readiness?"
Eyre also critiqued the new defence plan in blunt terms.
"This policy was not as fast as we wanted it to be, and it did not give us everything that we needed, but I will tell you, it's more than I expected — much more than I expected — going into it," Eyre said.
"Would we have wished for a more rapid implementation? Well, yes. But we've got our marching orders and it's time to move out and within our own realm, within our own arcs of influence, implement as quickly as possible."
The federal budget does earmark significant funds, starting this year, for maintaining older fleets, including the navy's three-decade-old frigates.
The HMCS Fredericton, guided by tugs, returns to Halifax on Tuesday, July 28, 2020 after completing a six-month deployment in the Mediterranean Sea. (Andrew Vaughan/The Canadian Press)
It sets aside $1.9 billion to keep the frigate fleet afloat over the next five years and to extend the lease on the navy's privately contracted supply ship.
But the defence department is still expected to find $810 million in savings in the current budget year, as part of the Liberal government's overall austerity drive. The federal budget estimates say that, going forward, DND is expected to find $851 million in savings in the 2025-26 budget year and $907 million thereafter.
That's money the department had been expecting but will now have to do without.
The last time the defence department went through a major budget-cutting exercise was more than a decade ago, under the former Conservative government.
One of the areas hit hardest back then was the internal budget category known as national procurement funding — the cash that covers equipment maintenance, repair and overhaul, and in-service support.
The cuts between 2012 and 2014 led the army to park a large number of its vehicles, the air force to reduce flying hours by a quarter and the navy to tie up some of its warships.
Anecdotally, some in the army trace the current shortage of spare parts — which today is severely limiting the use of Leopard 2 tanks — back to the budget restraint of a decade ago.
Responding to the current round of budget cuts, the defence department acknowledged in a recent media statement that the national procurement pot of money will be affected this year, but insisted there will be money for military priorities.
"Due to the importance of National Procurement funding for the sustainment of CAF fleets and their materiel readiness, the Department is not intending to reallocate any significant amount of National Procurement funding," said the statement.
Operations and maintenance may go under the knife
The department was asked to explain what it means by "significant." It did not. "Decisions on savings are ongoing," DND said in a statement issued to CBC News. "Government of Canada priorities for defence will continue to guide our work across the organization."
When the Conservatives were cutting the defence budget, the separate pot of money for operations and maintenance (O&M) took a heavy hit.
Since November, anecdotal reports out of the defence department have suggested that operations and maintenance funding for reserve units was being slashed, in some cases by as much as 30 per cent.
The department told CBC News that individual units will have to decide how cuts to travel and professional services will affect their operations budgets.
"It is too soon to say how this could affect reserve units' O&M funding," the statement said.
Federal budget's funding boost for defence spread out over multiple years
Funding for military housing not kicking in until next year
The new federal budget promises good things will happen at the Department of National Defence … next year, and hopefully in the years after.
The new fiscal plan, presented Tuesday by Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland, marks a subtle but significant shift from what was proposed in last week's long-awaited defence policy, which committed to spending an additional $8.1 billion on defence.
The funding envelope in the budget earmarks the same amount but includes not only the defence department but proposed spending on both the Communications Security Establishment — the country's electronic spy agency — and Global Affairs Canada.
While the overall defence budget is expected to increase marginally in the current fiscal year to $33.8 billion, defence experts told CBC News that when the internal cost-cutting exercise ordered by the Liberal government and the new defence policy are factored in, the military can expect roughly $635 million less this year than was anticipated before spending restraint kicked in.
Freeland's fiscal plan projects a 30 per cent increase in defence spending in the next fiscal year, bringing it to $44.2 billion.
Next year is when the federal government is expected to begin paying for some big-ticket equipment purchases such as the F-35 fighters, which start arriving in 2026.
Experts ask: Where's the plan?
Sahir Khan, the executive vice-president of the University of Ottawa's Institute of Fiscal Studies and Democracy, said he would love to see the specifics.
"That's one of the difficulties, I think, with this government is we have seen a lot of aspiration, but not always the perspiration," said Khan, a former deputy parliamentary budget officer. "What is the plan to achieve the results?"
The politically charged promise to increase Canada's defence spending to 1.76 per cent of the gross domestic product by the end of the decade could be left in doubt when the spending plans are laid alongside the budget's economic projections during that time frame.
Generally, the better the economy does, the more the defence budget would have to be increased to meet the target.
"It's really unclear how we actually get to 1.76 per cent of GDP, if you take the figures that are presented which outline how spending is going to increase," said Dave Perry, a defence expert and president of the Canadian Global Affairs Institute.
"You can't put that against the nominal GDP projection provided in the budget" and then add in other government departments, such as Veterans Affairs Canada, "and get anywhere close" to the GDP projection in the defence policy, he said.
NATO expects member countries to set aside at least two per cent of their GDP for spending on the military. Allies have been pressuring Canada to come up with a plan to get to that target.
The federal budget does not lay out such a plan and does not address the two per cent benchmark.
"I think every ally that attends the NATO summit anniversary, the 75th, in Washington this summer ... is going to be looking squarely at Canada and [asking] whether or not we actually intend to live up to the spending investment target that we just agreed to nine months ago," said Perry, whose organization hosts conferences that are occasionally sponsored by defence contractors.
Funding for several key pledges has been pushed down the road and won't show up until the next budget year in 2025-26.
Money for military housing
The Liberals are promising to build 1,400 new military homes and renovate 2,500 other units to address an affordability crisis that has reduced some members of the military to living in vehicles.
But incremental funding for military housing doesn't kick in until next year's budget — and only $6.9 million is being set aside then, with $1.4 billion expected to be spent "in future years."
The federal budget proposes turning some defence department property over to housing development.
"National Defence owns 622 properties across every province and territory, totalling 2.2 million hectares," the budget document says. "In addition to providing housing to many members of the Canadian Armed Forces, many of these National Defence properties in cities and communities across Canada are not fully utilized and could be unlocked to build more homes for Canadian Armed Forces members, and civilians, to live in."
Budget 2024 says the Department of National Defence is working with the Canada Lands Company and other partners to divest 14 surplus properties that have potential for housing. They include the HMCS Armoury in Windsor, Ont., pictured. (Jacob Barker/CBC)
Defence department properties in Halifax, Toronto and Victoria could be up for redevelopment. There are firm plans to divest 14 surplus defence properties "that have potential for housing and are not needed for National Defence operations," says the budget document.
The defence policy pledges to hire more civilian staff in the department to help shepherd major projects through the system. While $149 million has been set aside over four years for that effort, the funding does not kick in until next year.
Funding for new military equipment — including new early warning aircraft to keep watch over the country's Far North for missile attacks, and long-range missiles for the army — won't see funding until next year as well.
The budget does earmark significant funds, starting this year, for maintaining old fleets, including the navy's three-decade-old frigates.
Over the next five years, $1.9 billion will be spent to keep the frigate fleet afloat and to extend the lease on the navy's privately contracted supply ship. Overall, the military is expected to need up to $8.2 billion for those ship life extensions because of the slow pace in delivering replacement warships and sustainment vessels.