Conservatives launch massive ad campaign amid surge in polls

Multimillion-dollar ad buy comes as polling shows Tories as much as 10 points ahead of Liberals

"This is not a branding campaign. This is an amplification of who Pierre is and always has been," said Regan Watts, a former adviser to several ministers in the Harper government. 

"He's warm, he's kind, he's empathetic and he listens… It's important for people to delineate between Parliament Hill and the rest of the country, engaging with Canadians one-on-one. "

Two of the three ads focus on showing a more human side of Poilievre, whose aggressive, bulldog style has seen him spar with journalists and politicians alike, prompting Maclean's magazine to ask "Why is Pierre Poilievre so angry?"

A senior Conservative source confirmed to CBC News that the party will spend more than $3 million over three months to push three bilingual ads in every province and territory.

The ads will air on TV, radio, digital platforms and print media.

Polling analyst Éric Grenier, the author of TheWrit.ca, says the timing of the campaign makes sense.

"Usually when there is a new leader in place and Canadians don't know a lot about them, there is an attempt to try to make them seem more like a likable person," he said.

The first ad features voice-over from Poilievre's wife, Anaida, a Montreal-raised Venezuelan immigrant who has been described in a Quebec newspaper as Poilievre's "hidden ace" in Quebec.

"Who is Pierre Poilievre?" she narrates, before showing the Conservative leader at different stages of his life, including playing hockey while growing up in Calgary, and playing with his own children.

"And I know him as a guy who loves me for who I am," she says in the ad. "A Canadian, who came to call Canada home, and his wife." 

It was released less than a week after Justin Trudeau's high-profile separation from his wife, Sophie Grégoire Trudeau.

The second ad shows Poilievre sitting with his son, doing a puzzle.

"Everything feels broken in Canada. Unaffordable, unsafe, divided. But we can put the pieces back together," he says in voice-over.

The third ad is an attack on the carbon tax, which Poilievre says he would undo if elected.

A spokesperson for Poilievre did not respond to a request for comment about the ad campaign. 

A surge in polls 

This ad campaign comes while the party surges in the polls. 

"All the national polling that we've seen over the last few months have given the Conservatives a wide lead, sometimes as wide as 10 points, and that has increased over the last few months," Grenier said.

"The question is whether it's going to hold into the fall."

It also comes weeks after he ditched his tie and glasses for a more casual look, which some strategists say could signal an effort to present a more laid-back, likable version of himself.

These ads could be an appeal to women — a key demographic Conservatives are trying to court, says Grenier. 

"The Conservatives in general poll less well among women than they do among men… For Pierre Poilievre, we've seen the same kinds of things. Negatives tend to be a lot higher among women than among men," he said. 

"This is a way to make him seem less abrasive, less partisan."

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Kate McKenna

Kate McKenna is a senior reporter with CBC News. She is based in the parliamentary bureau. kate.mckenna@cbc.ca.

• Follow Kate on Twitter

Attn Sgt. Maxime Babineau 506-523-4611

Automatic reply: Hey Bruce Fitch Perhaps you should talk to Barbara Whitenect I got a call from one of your minions within "Mental Heath" claiming the RCMP are calling me crazy again

Moore, Rob - M.P. <Rob.Moore@parl.gc.ca>	Thu, Aug 10, 2023 at 11:55 AM
To: David Amos <david.raymond.amos333@gmail.com>
*This is an automated response*   Thank you for contacting the Honourable Rob Moore, P.C., M.P. office. We appreciate the time you took to get in touch with our office.   If you did not already, please ensure to include your full contact details on your email and the appropriate staff will be able to action your request. We strive to ensure all constituent correspondence is responded to in a timely manner.   If your question or concern is time sensitive, please call our office: 506-832-4200.   Again, we thank you for taking the time to share your thoughts and concerns.   ~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~ Office of the Honourable Rob Moore, P.C., M.P. Member of Parliament for Fundy Royal rob.moore@parl.gc.ca       "Polling analyst Éric Grenier, the author of TheWrit.ca, says the timing of the campaign makes sense. "Usually when there is a new leader in place and Canadians don't know a lot about them, there is an attempt to try to make them seem more like a likable person," he said."       https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ISU5fkIe5ZY&ab_channel=%C3%89ricGrenier      The Writ Podcast - Ep. #104: Trudeau does the shuffle Éric Grenier 1.86K subscribers 889 viewsJul 28, 2023The Writ Podcast Stephanie Levitz and Aaron Wherry on what the cabinet shuffle means. https://www.thewrit.ca/ Prime Minister Justin Trudeau didn’t just shuffle his cabinet — he overhauled it, replacing seven ministers and changing the roles of most of the others. A simple refresh ahead of the next election or an admission that things weren’t working? To discuss what it all means, I’m joined this week by Stephanie Levitz of the Toronto Star and the CBC’s Aaron Wherry.      https://www.thewrit.ca/p/the-weekly-writ-for-aug-9-conservatives   The Weekly Writ for Aug. 9: Conservatives gaining in the right places Plus, PCs win big in Nova Scotia byelection, the riding to watch tomorrow night in Saskatchewan and Ernest Manning's first victory. Éric Grenier Aug 9, 2023 ∙ Paid Welcome to the Weekly Writ, a round-up of the latest federal and provincial polls, election news and political history that lands in your inbox every Wednesday morning. The polls have been good for Pierre Poilievre and the Conservatives this summer, and they’ve gotten better in places where the Conservatives need to make gains in the next election. Case in point: how things have shifted in the Léger and Abacus Data polls since last year. We’ll focus on polls conducted in July 2022 and July 2023. Last July, Léger gave the Liberals a lead of four points across the country. Abacus had the Conservatives ahead by five. Average those out, and it was effectively a tie. The NDP trailed in third with 19-21% support. This July, Léger had the Conservatives ahead by nine points, while Abacus put the Conservatives ahead by 10. The NDP trailed with 17-18%. On average, this suggests the Conservatives gained six points, with the Liberals down three and the NDP down 2.5. With the exception of the Prairies, where the Conservatives dropped an average of one point between these two sets of polls, the party is up everywhere. The biggest gains have come in Atlantic Canada (+9.5), British Columbia (+8.5) and Ontario (+7). That’s just about the best scenario the party could hope for when it comes to picking up new seats. Growth in Quebec (+4.5) and Alberta (+5) has been more modest, but still good. That growth hasn’t come from every party equally. The Liberals have plummeted 13 points in Atlantic Canada. They are down 6.5 points in Alberta and 5.5 points in the Prairies. But they’ve only lost 2.5 points in B.C., two points in Ontario and 1.5 points in Quebec. It’s because the Liberals are holding on in the three biggest provinces that the Conservatives are being kept from reaching the majority government threshold. The Bloc Québécois has been holding steady at around 31% to 32%, matching their results in the last two elections. Apparently, the Bloc has its vote and it isn’t budging. The New Democrats haven’t seen their support move by more than a point in either direction in Alberta, Quebec or Atlantic Canada — all regions where their seat holdings and prospects are minimal. But they are down 5.5 points in both British Columbia and the Prairies, as well as 4.5 points in Ontario. So, it certainly seems that the Conservatives are taking from both parties. As I laid out in yesterday’s analysis, it does matter where that new support is coming from, and there are some signs that some of it is coming from areas where the Conservatives already hold all the seats. Surges in rural Ontario, the B.C. Interior or the parts of the Maritimes that are already blue won’t help in the seat count. But there’s undoubtedly enough spillover here to put the Conservatives in a solid minority government position. We’ll see if they can tip over into majority territory. Before getting to today’s Weekly Writ, don’t forget to join me and Philippe J. Fournier tomorrow night for our livestream of the Saskatchewan byelection results. It starts at 10 PM ET / 8 PM CT on Thursday and you’ll find the stream here: These are some interesting contests, with two urban seats being targeted by the Saskatchewan New Democrats and one rural seat where the governing Saskatchewan Party is trying to tamp down support for rivals to its right. If you missed it last week, check out my discussion with Adam Hunter in the most recent episode of The Writ Podcast to get caught up. Alright, now to what is in this week’s instalment of the Weekly Writ: News of the byelection results in Preston and who is raising all the dough in British Columbia and Alberta. Polls on the carbon tax and Manitoba politics. The slimmest of minority governments in Manitoba if the election were held today. The riding to watch in tomorrow’s Saskatchewan byelections is the focus of this week’s riding profile. Ernest Manning makes Social Credit boring and electable in the #EveryElectionProject. Jagmeet Singh marks a new milestone. © 2023 Éric Grenier Privacy∙ Terms∙ Collection notice       https://www.thewrit.ca/p/the-weekly-writ-for-aug-2-so-are

The Weekly Writ for Aug. 2: So are the Liberals doomed all of a sudden?

Why you should take a breather before changing everything you believe to be true, plus great fundraising for the Conservatives and bad polls for the Liberals.

Éric Grenier

Aug 2, 2023

Conservatives open up widest money lead ever

While I urge caution on interpreting the polls, I would urge panic for the Liberals when it comes to fundraising.

The Conservatives raised $7,964,000 in the second quarter (Q2) of 2023 from nearly 47,000 individual contributions. That is up significantly from the $4.4 million raised in Q2 2022, though that was in the midst of a leadership race when donor money was heading elsewhere.

The fundraising ability of Poilievre’s crew is remarkable. He has led the party now for three full fundraising quarters, and those three quarters rank #1, #2 and #3 on the all-time list for the Conservatives outside of an election year. The $16.3 million raised by the Conservatives so far in 2023 ranks only second to the run-up to the 2019 election, when the Conservatives raised $16.5 million.

That does, I suppose, urge more caution. The Conservatives didn’t win the 2019 election despite out-raising the Liberals by a significant margin. Money talks, but it doesn’t say everything.

The Liberals took in $3,191,000 from almost 31,000 contributions, an increase on the $2.8 million the Liberals raised in Q2 2022. While it pales in comparison to the Conservative haul, this was the best Q2 for the Liberals outside of an election year since 2016. The Liberals have raised $6.8 million so far this year, up from $6 million raised in the first two quarters of last year. Again, that’s their best start to a non-election year since 2016, shortly after the party first came to power.

Relative to their own performances these are decent numbers for the Liberals. Relative to the Conservatives, though, they aren’t decent. The Conservatives have raised $9.5 million more than the Liberals so far in 2023. That’s the widest gap ever to start a year, beating the previous record of $9.3 million set by Stephen Harper’s Conservatives in 2011. That year didn’t end so well for the Liberals.

The New Democrats raised $1,375,000 from about 17,000 contributions, up from the $1.2 million raised in Q2 2022. This was a good quarter for the NDP, as their only better Q2s in recent years were in 2019 and 2021, when the party was revving up for an election. The NDP has raised $2.6 million so far in 2023, a little better than where they were at this point in 2022.

The Greens raised $408,000, their worst Q2 since 2013, while the Bloc Québécois took in $240,000. The Bloc’s $562,000 haul for the first half of 2023 is below what it managed over the previous two years. As of writing, the Q2 results for the People’s Party had not been posted.

Oh, and past Conservative leadership contestants still raising money to pay off debt include Peter MacKay ($133,000 raised in Q2 2023), Scott Aitchison ($42,500) and Roman Baber ($24,000).

Ontario Liberals win two byelections as Tories fight amongst themselves

Last Thursday, the Ontario Liberals pulled off a bit of a coup when they won re-election in their stronghold of Scarborough–Guildwood and flipped a seat in eastern Ontario that had been painted Tory blue for a century.

That latter win in Kanata–Carleton was an upset — not in the sense that it was unexpected, but in the sense that this is a seat the Progressive Conservatives can normally rely upon. The riding has changed over the years, but its current boundaries cover territory that has voted for the PCs (and the Conservatives before them) in every general election since 1923. The last non-Tory to represent this part of the province was a United Farmer.

We shouldn’t over-state the importance of this win, though. The Ontario Liberals are the third-place party at Queen’s Park with just nine seats and are in the midst of a leadership race. Their win here can largely be credited to Karen McCrimmon, the former Liberal MP for the riding who opted to run provincially in this byelection after stepping aside from federal politics ahead of the 2021 election.

McCrimmon took 34.4% of the vote, a far cry from the 43% she took in her last victory as a federal Liberal in 2019. Still, this represented a big jump of 11 points for the Liberals since the last provincial election. It looks like a nearly one-to-one trade with the PCs, whose candidate (Sean Webster) did 11.3 points worse than Merrilee Fullerton did last time. The 32.3% of the vote taken by the PCs here is their worst ever.

A bigger surprise than McCrimmon winning might have been the performance of the NDP’s Melissa Coenraad. She took 29.7% of the vote, a gain of 5.5 points in what turned out to be a three-way race. That result is even better than what the NDP did in Kanata–Carleton in 2018, when the party was at its recent high watermark.

Jennifer Boudreau of the New Blues dropped slightly to 2%, while the Greens’ Steven Warren was down 4.1 points from the party’s performance here in 2022. Turnout in the byelection was 35.1%, not great but respectable enough for a provincial byelection in July.

Turnout in Scarborough–Guildwood was far worse, with just 21.8% of eligible voters casting a ballot.

The Liberals’ Andrea Hazell was able to hold on to the seat with 36.6% of the vote, a drop of 9.7 points since 2022. That’s not terrific for the Liberals and puts an asterisk on the Liberals’ two wins — if the party’s support dropped nearly 10 points in Scarborough–Guildwood, it stands to reason that the Liberals probably would not have been able to win in Kanata–Carleton without a star candidate on the ballot.

But a drop for the Liberals here did not correspond with good news for the PCs, who dropped 1.9 points themselves to 29.6%. Gary Crawford, a Scarborough city councillor, was supposed to be a star candidate for the PCs, but he doesn’t seem to have helped at all. In fact, his performance here is below how the party did both in 2018 and 2022, elections in which they formed government. It is more like the results the PCs put up here in 2007, 2011 and 2014 — elections in which they lost.

Here again the New Democrats did surprisingly well, with Thadsha Navaneethan gaining 9.5 points for the party and finishing a strong third with 26.2%. That didn’t quite match the NDP’s 27.6% from 2018, but was nevertheless an impressive result.

The Stop the New Sex-Ed Agenda party finished fourth with 3.3%, making the finishes for the New Blues and (especially) Greens at 1% rather embarrassing.

Also embarrassing: the post-results gossip. Someone within the federal Conservative Party felt it was really important for everyone to know that Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives had purposely tried to screw over Doug Ford’s PCs by denying them assistance in Kanata–Carleton. This was apparently an act of retribution for the PCs denying the Conservatives help in the recent federal byelection in Oxford.

How important did this “senior federal Conservative” think it was to get this message of internecine fighting out? Within minutes of the results being finalized, Laura Stone of The Globe and Mail, Robert Benzie of the Toronto Star and Colin D’Mello of Global News were tweeting it out. Not once, not twice, but thrice did this senior Conservative pick up the phone to reach out to some of the top Queen’s Park reporters to spread the word.

Let’s be honest — if I’m the Ford PCs, I would have wanted to stay out of the Oxford byelection, too. There was controversy about the nomination process, as a candidate close to the Poilievre crew (Arpan Khanna) was parachuted-in from the GTA. I’m not sure why the Ford PCs would want to pick a side in a divisive local bun fight.

I’m a little amazed that anyone thought it was a good idea to make a private beef between the Ford PCs and the Poilievre Conservatives so public, with a gleeful vindictiveness that should impress no one. How it helps the federal Conservatives is beyond me, as the Ontario PCs are at least as popular as the Conservatives in the province and, unlike the federal organization, have actually won an election in Ontario in the last decade.

From the Ivory Tower: The role of race in voting patterns

An interesting-looking article is in early preview in the Canadian Journal of Political Science. The full article is available to university students and faculty through their library, but the rest of us will have to wait. The abstract sounds intriguing, however, as Isaac Haie of Occidental College in Los Angeles looked at the impact on voting intentions after Jagmeet Singh, “the first non-white leader of a nationally competitive Canadian political party,” took over the NDP. Here’s a bit of the abstract:

I show that NDP vote choice polarized on the basis of racial attitudes following Singh's ascension to party leader. Voters with cold feelings toward racial minorities were less likely to vote for the NDP in 2019 and 2021 than in comparable historical elections. In contrast, there is no significant difference between 2019/2021 and prior elections in support for the Liberals and Conservatives among such voters. These results suggest that racial attitudes are salient in Canadian elections and that national parties may face an electoral penalty when selecting non-white party leaders.

I’ll keep an eye on this article to see if it will be put in open access in the coming weeks.

THIS WEEK’S POLLS

Conservatives finally break through in Ontario?

The two national surveys published last week had great news for the Conservatives and disastrous news for the Liberals, with the Conservatives opening up a nine or 10 point lead. And, unlike other surveys that have put the Conservatives ahead nationally, the regional results were nearly as positive for them as the toplines.

The polls were by Abacus Data and Léger. The Abacus poll was in the field July 20-25, so it is far more recent than the Léger survey, which was in the field July 7-10.

Nationally, Abacus gave the Conservatives 38% support, a jump of four points since the end of June. The Liberals were down one point to 28%, followed by the NDP at 18% (-2), the Bloc at 7% (unchanged), the Greens at 5% (also unchanged) and the PPC at 4% (-1).

Léger had the Conservatives at 37%, up six points since the end of May, with the Liberals down five points to 28%. The NDP was down two to 17%, followed by the Bloc at 8% (-1), the Greens at 5% (-1) and the PPC at 3% (+1).

It’s the regional results that really stand out. The Conservatives held their usual lead in Western Canada, but the results in Ontario and Atlantic Canada were particularly good for Poilievre.

Abacus gave the Conservatives 39% support in Ontario, six points ahead of the Liberals. Léger also put the Conservatives at 39%, but ahead by nine points. When Abacus and Léger were both in the field at around the same time in late May and early June, the Conservatives only had a lead of one or two points in the province.

The one-point lead awarded to the Liberals in Atlantic Canada is also a big shift, as in the spring the two polling firms awarded the Liberals a wider lead of nine (Abacus) and 27 (Léger) points. That’s a huge change.

Quebec’s results were more typical, while British Columbia provides the point of disagreement. Abacus gives the Conservatives a 14 point lead (over the NDP), while Léger has the Liberals ahead by two.

B.C. apart, these results would really eat away at the Liberals’ seat count in Ontario and Atlantic Canada. Using a simple swing model, Léger’s numbers would award the Conservatives 68 seats in Ontario, with just 42 going to the Liberals, while the Atlantic count would be 18 Liberal seats and 13 for the Conservatives. The Abacus numbers would produce the same results in Atlantic Canada, but a smaller Conservative margin in Ontario (61 seats to 49). The better B.C. results for Poilievre would make up the difference, however, and in both scenarios the Conservatives would be around the 160-seat mark, only a few shy of a majority government.

With both polls, the Liberals would be down about 40 seats from where they currently stand, with no realistic hope of holding on to government in a minority parliament.

The Léger poll only contained voting intentions results, but the Abacus survey paints a picture of problem after problem for the Liberals. Government disapproval is at 51%, as high as it has been in recent years, with approval at just 32%. Justin Trudeau’s positive impressions are down to 29%, with 51% holding a negative impression of the prime minister. Only 19% believe that the Liberals should be re-elected, while 50% say it is time for a change and there is a good alternative available.

It’s not all a slam-dunk for Pierre Poilievre, however. The spike in Conservative support is not coinciding with a spike in his personal ratings, as 31% of Canadians hold a positive impression of him, virtually unchanged from when he first became leader. His negative ratings stand at 37%, again largely unchanged over the last year (though down from the high of 40% he reached in mid-June).

Nevertheless, this Abacus poll is dreadful for the Liberals, with the trend lines all heading in the wrong direction for them — and in the worst places.

POLLING NEWS BRIEFS

Also from Abacus Data, Doug Ford’s Progressive Conservatives lead in Ontario by 17 points, with 41% support to just 24% for the Liberals and 23% for the NDP, virtually identical to where things stood in the 2022 provincial election. The results don’t quite match up with the PCs’ poor showing in the two byelections, but the local dynamics at play probably had a lot to do with that.

IF THE ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY

The Conservatives find themselves knocking on the door of a majority government, now with an estimated at 161 seats. That’s thanks largely to significant gains at the expense of the Liberals in Ontario and smaller gains from the NDP in British Columbia.

Despite the byelections, the Abacus numbers point to a better overall picture for Doug Ford’s PCs. They are back up to 79 seats, with the NDP at 30, the Liberals at 12 and the Greens at two.

The following seat estimates are derived from a uniform swing model that is based on trends in recent polls as well as minor tweaks and adjustments. Rather than the product of a statistical model, these estimates are my best guess of what an election held today would produce, based both on the data and my own experience observing dozens of elections since 2008.

Changes are compared to last week. Parties are ordered according to their finish in the previous election (with some exceptions for minor parties).

RIDING OF THE WEEK

Regina Walsh Acres (Saskatchewan)

In the three provincial byelections taking place in Saskatchewan on August 10, the focus will primarily be on the two Regina seats the governing Saskatchewan Party won by small margins in 2020. Of those two, Regina Coronation Park was the closest, decided by just five points in the last election and by an even smaller margin in the one before that. If any of these three ridings are going to flip to the New Democrats, it is Regina Coronation Park.

But Regina Walsh Acres will still be one to watch.

Derek Meyers won this seat for the Sask. Party with 46.6% of the vote in 2020, replacing former Sask. Party MLA Warren Steinley, who had made the jump to federal politics. An up-and-comer, Meyers’s political career was tragically cut short when he passed away from cancer earlier this year.

Kelly Hardy of the NDP came second with 37.7%, followed by Independent candidate Sandra Morin, who finished with 11.8%, and Ken Grey of the Progressive Conservatives with 3.9%.

Morin was the NDP candidate (and a former NDP cabinet minister) before then-leader Ryan Meili vetoed her nomination. Morin ran as an Independent, complicating the electoral math here. Some of Morin’s vote would have otherwise gone to the NDP. Had there not been the nomination controversy, the margin in Regina Walsh Acres might have been even closer.

The Sask. Party has held this riding since 2011, but prior to that the New Democrats held sway here, winning every election between 1986 and 2007 (though in that last campaign the Sask. Party didn’t have a candidate here).

This riding in northwestern Regina is mostly suburban and had a mix of polls won by the NDP and Sask. Party in 2020. The NDP’s strength lies mostly south of 9th Avenue North, closer to the city centre, while the Sask. Party does best on the outskirts of the city.

The most recent polling by Insightrix Research puts the NDP ahead of the Sask. Party by six points in Regina, representing a swing of seven points since the last election when the Sask. Party won the city by about one percentage point.

But the 44% recorded by Insightrix represents a small drop for the NDP, who took 46% of the vote in Regina in 2020. It’s difficult to know exactly what to take from the numbers, as the poll awarded 13% to the PCs. The party took only 3% of the vote in the city in the last election.

The sample size in Regina was small, so we shouldn’t lean too heavily on the results. But if we assume that a lot of that PC vote isn’t real — brand confusion with the federal Conservatives might be inflating the PC numbers — then Regina hasn’t shifted very dramatically. Covering that 8.9-point margin from 2020 won’t be easy for the NDP, even with the help of some of that Morin vote.

Tasked with holding off the NDP is the Sask. Party’s Nevin Markwart, who played 309 games in the NHL between 1983 and 1992, mostly for the Boston Bruins and also the Calgary Flames. Since retirement from professional hockey, he has worked in the investment and cybersecurity sectors.

Elementary school teacher Jared Clarke is running for the NDP, while Indigenous activist Joseph Reynolds is the Green candidate. Rose Buscholl, the interim leader of the Saskatchewan PCs, is running here. Her result will provide a reality check on where the party actually stands in Regina — and perhaps beyond.

(ALMOST) ON THIS DAY in the #EveryElectionProject

The Big Blue Machine revs up

August 4, 1943

Wars are transformative moments in history, and the Ontario election of 1943, taking place just as the tide of the Second World War was turning in the Allies’ favour, was a transformative moment for Ontario.

Not only did the election gave birth to a new political dynasty, it also inaugurated a new party system that has survived in Ontario to this day.

Even before the war started, Ontario had been going through a period of turmoil. The Great Depression had impacted the province like everywhere else, and helped bring to power the charismatic (and some would say demagogic) Mitchell Hepburn, a populist with a volatile personality — and a colourful personal life. Though a Liberal premier, Hepburn would quickly become the nemesis of Liberal prime minister Mackenzie King.

After initially working together once Hepburn had come to power, the two would eventually come to hate each other. Hepburn felt that King interfered too much in his bailiwick. The paranoid King saw in Hepburn a rival who was continually trying to bring him down and take his spot at the head of the Liberal Party and the country.

When Hepburn joined Quebec premier Maurice Duplessis in criticizing King’s prosecution of the war effort, the prime minister pulled out all the stops to defeat Duplessis in the 1939 Quebec election and subsequently took his own national victory in 1940 as a rebuke of Hepburn’s attacks.

Eventually, Hepburn’s erratic and hard-living style was impacting his leadership of the Ontario Liberals as well as his own health, and he stepped down as premier in 1942 (though he stayed on as the provincial treasurer). By then, though, Hepburn had almost gone entirely over to the other side, campaigning with federal Conservative leader Arthur Meighen in the York South byelection (which Meighen lost) and saying he would vote for John Bracken, Meighen’s replacement as leader, in the next federal campaign. When Hepburn likened King’s political tactics to Adolf Hitler’s, the Ontario Liberals had finally had enough and Gordon Conant, Hepburn’s ally and choice as interim successor, removed Hepburn from cabinet.

As the date for the Liberal leadership approached, the divisions within the Liberal Party were coming to a head. Conant, claiming nervous exhaustion, removed himself from contention and checked himself into a hospital. Delegates chose Harry Nixon, who had brought the remnants of the old United Farmers and Progressives into the Liberal Party in the 1930s, as the new leader and premier of the province.

Nixon had King’s support, and the prime minister saw in his victory a deliverance from the Hepburn menace, a “remarkable evidence of the moral forces that work in the unseen realm, and of the vindication of right in the end.” King also advised that Nixon go to the polls as soon as possible, and Nixon called an election shortly after he was sworn in as premier.

But Nixon’s decisive leadership victory did not heal the divides within the Liberal Party, and the organizational links between the provincial and federal wings had been severed. Hepburn wouldn’t go away either, and he ran as an Independent Liberal in his Elgin riding.

While the Liberals were tearing themselves apart, the Conservative opposition was getting its act together. Now under the leadership of First World War veteran George Drew and re-branded the Progressive Conservative Party (Bracken, a Progressive premier in Manitoba, had accepted the national leadership of the party on the condition that the name be changed), the Tories had developed a progressive 22-point policy platform and strengthened their local organizations across the province.

Also stacked against Nixon and the Liberals was the rising Co-operative Commonwealth Federation under Ted Jolliffe. Though the Ontario CCF had been shutout in the 1937 election, the war saw a rise in CCF support across the country. National polling was beginning to put the socialists in contention and its prospects for forming government in places like British Columbia and Saskatchewan were looking up. Labour was uniting behind the CCF and Jolliffe was an effective, articulate leader, pitching a future vision of the province that would deliver a better life for workers, soldiers and their families after the war was over.

Polls before the campaign had put the CCF in third, but by election day the latest numbers from the nascent Gallup Poll had the CCF ahead, with 36% support to 33% for Drew’s PCs and 31% for the Liberals.

The competitive contest pushed the Liberals to try to lump the PCs and the CCF together, seeing in Drew’s progressive platform yet more socialism that only a Liberal government could keep at bay. But the PCs were just as opposed to the rise of the CCF — Drew would campaign hard against the ‘Red Menace’ once in power — and his allies went to bat against the socialists, claiming that the CCF would break Canada’s connection to the British monarchy. One third-party ad charged that “The C.C.F. Would Get Rid of Churchill” and begged Ontarians to “Keep Ontario British”.

The Liberals were facing pressure from both ends — and also had to grapple with the unpopularity of the Mackenzie King government. King had just held a plebiscite on conscription that divided English and French Canada (again) and was still refusing to send conscripts overseas, so the Tories cast Nixon as King’s puppet, and King’s government as beholden to Quebec. “The voice may be the voice of Nixon,” Drew said, “but the words will be the words of Mackenzie King.”

Citing the requirements of the war, the teetotaler King had also instituted a reduction in the supply of beer in the country, sparking an uproar among Canadians who were willing to give up a lot for the war effort — except a drink. It wasn’t prohibition, but the result was that the beer halls would run out of supply before the end of a hot summer’s day, when labourers and farmers were thirsting for a cool beer after a long day’s work under the sun. The Liberals were doomed.

Still, the outcome of the election was in doubt. Every leader claimed they were on track for victory, but an editorial in the Ottawa Evening Citizen summed it up best: “stalemate seems probable,” the editorialists wrote, “yet so unpredictable are elections under present circumstances that almost anything can happen.”

The result showed a divided province. Drew and the Progressive Conservatives won 38 seats, an increase of 15 since the 1937 election, but saw their share of the vote drop 3.6 points to 35.8%. They suffered losses to the CCF, but also made gains in the southwestern portion of the province that had long been the Liberal heartland, and where the Tories had been shutout in 1937. 

The CCF captured 31.6% of the vote, a gain of 26 points since the last election. The party won 34 seats, sweeping northern Ontario, making significant gains in Toronto and winning seats in the industrial centres of Windsor, Hamilton and Kitchener. Two Communists were also elected (A.A. MacLeod and J.B. Salsberg) in Toronto under the Labour-Progressive banner, as the Communist Party had been banned in 1940.

Support for the Liberals collapsed, dropping 19 points to just 30% and leaving the party with only 15 seats — 16 seats if Hepburn, elected as an Independent Liberal, is added to the total. The Liberals had retained their support among Franco-Ontarians and in parts of the southwest, but they had been dealt a serious blow.

“In my inner nature,” King wrote in his diary after the results of the election were known, “I feel a sense of relief that a cabinet that has been so unprincipled and devoid of character has been swept out of Queen’s Park.”

The Liberals had indeed been beaten, but Hepburn wasn’t done just yet. He’d return as leader once again after Nixon’s resignation. But the 1945 election would not see the return of the Liberals to power. Instead, Drew and the Progressive Conservatives would secure a majority government — and the Big Blue Machine would continue powering Ontario until 1985. The CCF had come close in 1943 and would whither under Drew’s ferocious attacks in 1945, but it formed the official opposition again in 1948 and on several more occasions as the Ontario New Democrats, who themselves would form a government in 1990.

The 1943 election had brought the Conservatives back to power, where they would remain for decades. But it also brought about a new dynamic in Ontario politics that has stood the test of time.

That’s it for the Weekly Writ this week. The next episode of The Writ Podcast will be dropping on Friday. As always, the episode will land in your inbox but you can also find it on Apple Podcasts and other podcasting apps. And don’t forget to subscribe to my YouTube Channel, where I post videos, livestreams and interviews from the podcast!

The Fredericton lawyer Erika Hache cannot deny I made her aware of the coverup of the the actions of the Fredericton Police Force, the RCMP and Manoj Bhargava against me CORRECT???

Hey Bruce Fitch Perhaps you should talk to Barbara Whitenect I got a call from one of your minions within "Mental Heath" claiming the RCMP are calling me crazy again

  

David Amos <david.raymond.amos333@gmail.com>	Thu, Aug 10, 2023 at 11:54 AM
To: "blaine.higgs"<blaine.higgs@gnb.ca>, oic-bci@gnb.ca, Charles.Murray@gnb.ca, "hugh.flemming"<hugh.flemming@gnb.ca>, "kris.austin"<kris.austin@gnb.ca>, Dominic.Cardy@gnb.ca, "Hamish.Wright"<Hamish.Wright@gnb.ca>, keriess@postmedia.com, Eric.Mallet@gnb.ca, Arlene.Dunn@gnb.ca, Greg.Turner@gnb.ca, Daniel.J.Allain@gnb.ca, Ryan.Cullins@gnb.ca, Richard.Ames@gnb.ca, Margaret.Johnson@gnb.ca, Bill.Hogan@gnb.ca, Rene.Legacy@gnb.ca, "robert.mckee"<robert.mckee@gnb.ca>, "rob.moore"<rob.moore@parl.gc.ca>, PREMIER <PREMIER@gov.ns.ca>, pm <pm@pm.gc.ca>, "Katie.Telford"<Katie.Telford@pmo-cpm.gc.ca>, "pierre.poilievre"<pierre.poilievre@parl.gc.ca>, "Ross.Wetmore"<Ross.Wetmore@gnb.ca>, "Robert. Jones"<Robert.Jones@cbc.ca>, "robert.gauvin"<robert.gauvin@gnb.ca>, mcu <mcu@justice.gc.ca>, David.Lametti@parl.gc.ca, "Nathalie.G.Drouin"<Nathalie.G.Drouin@pco-bcp.gc.ca>, jan.jensen@justice.gc.ca, "Michael.Duheme"<Michael.Duheme@rcmp-grc.gc.ca>, "Kevin.leahy"<Kevin.leahy@rcmp-grc.gc.ca>, "Mark.Blakely"<Mark.Blakely@rcmp-grc.gc.ca>, "martin.gaudet"<martin.gaudet@fredericton.ca>
Cc: motomaniac333 <motomaniac333@gmail.com>, "barb.whitenect"<barb.whitenect@gnb.ca>, fred.phelps@casw-acts.ca, "bruce.fitch"<bruce.fitch@gnb.ca>, erika.hachey@mosshacheylaw.com, Robert.Weir@gnb.ca, "Bill.Oliver"<Bill.Oliver@gnb.ca>
In response I called the RCMP and your office again Correct? Deja Vu Anyone? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f1azdNWbF3A&ab_channel=DavidAmos Me,Myself and I David Amos https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vugUalUO8YY&t=21s&ab_channel=DavidAmos RCMP Sussex New Brunswick David Amos https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r26yZtPF8K4&ab_channel=DavidAmos RCMP and the Fat Fred City Finest David Amos https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QYtvhy9GaQY&ab_channel=DavidAmos8 RCMP in Fat Fred City Pt 1 David Amos https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=caq7j2KCnYE&t=107s&ab_channel=DavidAmos RCMP in Fat Fred City Pt 2 David Amos https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0WEVX9YU6Tc&ab_channel=DavidAmos Speak of the Devil and Cst. Mark Blakely of the RCMP appears David Amos https://www.casw-acts.ca/en/barbara-whitenect-rsw Barbara Whitenect, RSW The CASW Award is given in recognition of outstanding contributions to the field of social welfare and for the profession of social work in Canada.  It is hard to think of someone more deserving than Barbara Whitenect. Barb obtained her Bachelor of Social Work at St. Thomas University in 1991 and followed that by obtaining her Masters of Social Work from Carleton University in 1992. Barb has been a member in good standing with the NBASW since 1992. She has been actively involved with the provincial NBASW since 2007first as vice-president.  Barb is currently the President of the NBASW and represents the NBASW on the national and international front with her active involvement with CASW, CCSWR and ASWB. She has been a key player in leading NBASW to adopt its first Scope of Practice. Barb identifies herself as a social worker at every opportunity.  She has provided social work education to social work students – both by teaching at St. Thomas University and by supporting field placement opportunities for students within her workplace. Barb is currently employed in a Director`s Position for the Department of Health, attached to the Central Office Mental Health Services for New Brunswick. By her many skills and knowledge, Barb is often solicited by her peers to be involved with and take on various projects around the province and even on a National level.  She is a great leader for our membership and staff of NBASW, her ongoing involvement has brought our Association to a higher level of both administrative issues and constructive political working relationships. Barb represents social work proudly and is dedicated to the advancement of the profession and she is an inspiration to many of us. It is for this reason that she is the ideal candidate for the 2013 CASW Distinguished Service Award. For further information: Fred Phelps, MSW, RSW, CAE CASW Executive Director Tel: 613-793-2012 E-mail: fred.phelps@casw-acts.ca https://davidraymondamos3.blogspot.com/2023/08/conservatives-launch-massive-ad.html Thursday, 10 August 2023 Conservatives launch massive ad campaign amid surge in polls https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/conservative-ad-campaign-2023-1.6931440 Conservatives launch massive ad campaign amid surge in polls Multimillion-dollar ad buy comes as polling shows Tories as much as 10 points ahead of Liberals Kate McKenna, Hannah Thibedeau · CBC News · Posted: Aug 09, 2023 2:25 PM ADT Conservatives reintroduce Pierre Poilievre with $3M ad campaign Duration 1:58 The Conservative Party of Canada is reintroducing leader Pierre Poilievre to Canadians with a $3 million ad campaign that some insiders say is a move to rebrand him with a softer image.  The Conservative Party of  Canada is launching a multimillion-dollar ad campaign that depicts its leader, Pierre Poilievre, as a family man who wants to fix the country — all while his party is soaring in the polls and his main rival is going through a public split with his spouse. "This is not a branding campaign. This is an amplification of who Pierre is and always has been," said Regan Watts, a former adviser to several ministers in the Harper government. "He's warm, he's kind, he's empathetic and he listens… It's important for people to delineate between Parliament Hill and the rest of the country, engaging with Canadians one-on-one. " Two of the three ads focus on showing a more human side of Poilievre, whose aggressive, bulldog style has seen him spar with journalists and politicians alike, prompting Maclean's magazine to ask "Why is Pierre Poilievre so angry?" A senior Conservative source confirmed to CBC News that the party will spend more than $3 million over three months to push three bilingual ads in every province and territory. The ads will air on TV, radio, digital platforms and print media. Polling analyst Éric Grenier, the author of TheWrit.ca, says the timing of the campaign makes sense. "Usually when there is a new leader in place and Canadians don't know a lot about them, there is an attempt to try to make them seem more like a likable person," he said. The first ad features voice-over from Poilievre's wife, Anaida, a Montreal-raised Venezuelan immigrant who has been described in a Quebec newspaper as Poilievre's "hidden ace" in Quebec. "Who is Pierre Poilievre?" she narrates, before showing the Conservative leader at different stages of his life, including playing hockey while growing up in Calgary, and playing with his own children. "And I know him as a guy who loves me for who I am," she says in the ad. "A Canadian, who came to call Canada home, and his wife." It was released less than a week after Justin Trudeau's high-profile separation from his wife, Sophie Grégoire Trudeau. The second ad shows Poilievre sitting with his son, doing a puzzle. "Everything feels broken in Canada. Unaffordable, unsafe, divided. But we can put the pieces back together," he says in voice-over. The third ad is an attack on the carbon tax, which Poilievre says he would undo if elected. A spokesperson for Poilievre did not respond to a request for comment about the ad campaign. A surge in polls This ad campaign comes while the party surges in the polls. "All the national polling that we've seen over the last few months have given the Conservatives a wide lead, sometimes as wide as 10 points, and that has increased over the last few months," Grenier said. "The question is whether it's going to hold into the fall." It also comes weeks after he ditched his tie and glasses for a more casual look, which some strategists say could signal an effort to present a more laid-back, likable version of himself.     Pierre Poilievre drops the glasses as part of an image revamp These ads could be an appeal to women — a key demographic Conservatives are trying to court, says Grenier. "The Conservatives in general poll less well among women than they do among men… For Pierre Poilievre, we've seen the same kinds of things. Negatives tend to be a lot higher among women than among men," he said. "This is a way to make him seem less abrasive, less partisan." 'You can change the packaging but not the content:' Rodriguez on latest Poilievre ad blitz Duration 0:36 Reporters asked Transport Minister and Quebec MP Pablo Rodriguez about Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre's latest ad campaign. Rodriguez says that's not something Quebeckers want. Canada's Transport Minister Pablo Rodriguez was asked about the new ad campaign and said he doesn't believe the ads will sway people, particularly in his home province of Quebec. "You can change the packaging if you want, you can change the packaging, but not the contents," he said. "The content is not something that Quebecers want." 'Money to burn' Though the $3-million price tag might seem expensive, the Conservative Party of Canada is out-fundraising its rivals — by a lot. From April to June alone, the Tories raised nearly $8 million in donations, a slight decrease from the $8.3 million the party raised during the first three months of the year. That's more than double what the Liberals raised in the same window of time. "They have lots of money to burn," said Grenier. "The gap in fundraising over the last six months between the two parties is the biggest it's ever been … which gives them an advantage between elections that the Liberals and New Democrats simply don't have." The Conservative faithful will be gathering in Quebec City from Sept. 7 -9 for their annual convention. The website notes it's the first in-person convention since 2018. ABOUT THE AUTHOR Kate McKenna Kate McKenna is a senior reporter with CBC News. She is based in the parliamentary bureau. kate.mckenna@cbc.ca.     Follow Kate on Twitter CBC's Journalistic Standards and Practices 6369 Comments Bill Von Smith It will be nice when Justin is gone and Canada is not an international joke. Don Corey Reply to Bill Von Smith Oh so true! Taseko Tom Reply to Bill Von Smith P.P. is the laughingstock of the CPC , so there is that. Don Corey Reply to Taseko Tom Dream on.... David Amos Reply to Bill Von Smith I second that emotion  ---------- Original message ---------- From: David Amos <david.raymond.amos333@gmail.com> Date: Tue, 13 Apr 2021 09:06:58 -0300 Subject: Re The coverup of the the actions of the Fredericton Police Force, the RCMP and Manoj Bhargava against me To: erika.hachey@mosshacheylaw.com, andrew.moss@mosshacheylaw.com Cc: motomaniac333 <motomaniac333@gmail.com> Erika R. Hachey Called to the bar: 2013 (NB) erika.hachey@mosshacheylaw.com, Andrew C.W. Moss Called to the bar: 2015 (NB) Email: andrew.moss@mosshacheylaw.com Moss Hachey Law 90 Woodside Lane, Suite 103 Fredericton, New Brunswick E3C 2R9 Phone: 506-449-7544 Fax: 506-300-2072 https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/university-of-new-brunswick-sexual-assault-manoj-bhargava-1.5983964 "Referring complaints to police Schollenberg said the college involved the police recently, after suspending Bhargava. "It became apparent that there may be more to this," he said. He said the college asked some of the 18 complainants if they were interested in speaking to the police and passed on their information to the Fredericton Police Force if they said yes.     Fredericton psychiatrist suspended by College of Physicians and Surgeons Alycia Bartlette, spokesperson for the Fredericton Police Force, would not confirm whether the police are investigating Bhargava. "In general, we would not confirm whether a specific individual was the subject of a police investigation until such time as charges are laid in court, or there are operational reasons otherwise," she said in an email." >>> From: "Ross, Ken (DH/MS)"<ken.ross@gnb.ca>  >>> Date: Wed, 9 Jul 2008 08:43:31 -0300  >>> Subject: Re: Hey Ken Who is Mental Health's and the Hospital in  >>> Fredericton's lawyers?  >>> To: david.raymond.amos@gmail.com  >>>  >>> Got your messages Dave. I am in Toronto for meetings and will be back  >>> in the office Friday. I will ask Barb Whitenect to follow up with you  >>> in the interim. Yes Herby picked up ypur bike a while back.  >>>  >>> Sent from my BlackBerry Wireless Handheld  >>>  >>>  >>> --- On Wed, 7/9/08, David Amos <david.raymond.amos@gmail.com> wrote:  >>>  >>> From: David Amos <david.raymond.amos@gmail.com>  >>> Subject: Hey Ken Who is Mental Health's and the Hospital in  >>> Fredericton's lawyers?  >>> To: ken.ross@gnb.ca, Barbara.Whitenect@gnb.ca, MichaelB.Murphy@gnb.ca  >>> Cc: rosaire.santerre@gnb.ca, Marc.Pitre@gnb.ca, David.Eidt@gnb.ca,  >>> oldmaison@yahoo.com, Judy.Cyr@gnb.ca, t.j.burke@gnb.ca,  >>> police@fredericton.ca, Carrie.Levesque@gnb.ca, anne.elgee@gnb.ca,  >>> danny.copp@fredericton.ca, jacques.boucher@rcmp-grc.gc.ca  >>> Date: Wednesday, July 9, 2008, 3:03 AM  >>>  >>> KENNETH ROSS, Assistant Deputy Minister  >>> Addictions and Mental Health Services / Health  >>> Contact Information  >>> Phone: (506) 457-4800  >>> Fax: (506) 453-5243  >>>  >>> BARBARA WHITENECT, Director  >>> Addictions and Mental Health Services / Health  >>> Contact Information  >>> Phone: (506) 444-4442  >>> Fax: (506) 453-8711  >>> EMail Address: Barbara.Whitenect@gnb.ca  >>>  >>>  >>> Sorry to involve you but lets just say that I am really really pissed  >>> off for very justifiable reasons.  >>>  >>> This should prove to some folks that at least I know how to read.  >>>  >>> http://www.ahsc.health.nb.ca/Programs/MentalHealth/rights.shtml  >>>  >>> I have no doubt whatsoever that you would more pissed than I am if  >>> the malicious bullshit that happened to me last weekend had happened  >>> to you.  >>>  >>> I will try to call you in business hours but I suspect in the end I  >>> will wind up arguing this dude in court in short order. (On a lighter  >>> note did Herby pick up my bike?)  >>>  >>> David Eidt  >>> Legal Services  >>> Office of the Attorney General  >>> Tel: (506) 453-3964  >>> Fax: (506) 453-3275  >>> david.eidt@gnb.ca  >>>  >>> Best Regards  >>> Dave  >>>  >>>  >>> These emails and the bullshit from the news last year should to all  >>> that I am as serious as a heart attack and far from mentally unstabe  >>> but the cops have proven themselves to be monumental liars many times  >>>  >>> Subject:  >>> Date: Tue, 30 Jan 2007 12:02:35 -0400  >>> From: "Murphy, Michael B. \(DH/MS\)"MichaelB.Murphy@gnb.ca  >>> To: motomaniac_02186@yahoo.com  >>>  >>>  >>> January 30, 2007  >>>  >>>  >>> WITHOUT PREJUDICE  >>>  >>> Mr. David Amos  >>>  >>>  >>> Dear Mr. Amos:  >>>  >>> This will acknowledge receipt of a copy of your e-mail of December 29,  >>> 2006 to Corporal Warren McBeath of the RCMP.  >>>  >>> Because of the nature of the allegations made in your message, I have  >>> taken the measure of forwarding a copy to Assistant Commissioner Steve  >>> Graham of the RCMP "J" Division in Fredericton.  >>>  >>> Sincerely,  >>>  >>> Honourable Michael B. Murphy  >>> Minister of Health  >>>  >>> CM/cb  >>>  >>> Warren McBeath warren.mcbeath@rcmp-grc.gc.ca wrote:  >>>  >>> Date: Fri, 29 Dec 2006 17:34:53 -0500  >>> From: "Warren McBeath"warren.mcbeath@rcmp-grc.gc.ca  >>> To: kilgoursite@ca.inter.net, MichaelB.Murphy@gnb.ca,  >>> nada.sarkis@gnb.ca, wally.stiles@gnb.ca, dwatch@web.net,  >>> motomaniac_02186@yahoo.com  >>> CC: ottawa@chuckstrahl.com, riding@chuckstrahl.com,  >>> John.Foran@gnb.ca, Oda.B@parl.gc.ca,  >>> "Bev BUSSON"bev.busson@rcmp-grc.gc.ca,  >>> "Paul Dube"PAUL.DUBE@rcmp-grc.gc.ca  >>> Subject: Re: Remember me Kilgour? Landslide Annie McLellan has  >>> forgotten me but the crooks within the RCMP have n  >>>  >>> Dear Mr. Amos,  >>>  >>> Thank you for your follow up e-mail to me today. I was on days off over  >>> the holidays and returned to work this evening. Rest assured I was not  >>> ignoring or procrastinating to respond to your concerns.  >>>  >>> As your attachment sent today refers from Premier Graham, our position  >>> is clear on your dead calf issue: Our forensic labs do not process  >>> testing on animals in cases such as yours, they are referred to the  >>> Atlantic Veterinary College in Charlottetown who can provide these  >>> services. If you do not choose to utilize their expertise in this  >>> instance, then that is your decision and nothing more can be done.  >>>  >>> As for your other concerns regarding the US Government, false  >>> imprisonment and Federal Court Dates in the US, etc... it is clear that  >>> Federal authorities are aware of your concerns both in Canada and the  >>> US. These issues do not fall into the purvue of Detachment policing in  >>> Petitcodiac, NB.  >>>  >>> It was indeed an interesting and informative conversation we had on  >>> December 23rd, and I wish you well in all of your future endeavors.  >>>  >>> Sincerely,  >>>  >>> Warren McBeath, Cpl.  >>> GRC Caledonia RCMP  >>> Traffic Services NCO  >>> Ph: (506) 387-2222  >>> Fax: (506) 387-4622  >>> E-mail warren.mcbeath@rcmp-grc.gc.ca  >>>  >>> charles leblanc oldmaison@yahoo.com wrote:  >>>  >>> Where are ya living now???? Since the media seem to ignore ya? I'll  >>> sit down for a debate with a recorder for the blog...Now? Don't get  >>> all exicted and send this all over the world.....lol  >>>  >>> ----- Original Message ----  >>> From: David Amos motomaniac_02186@yahoo.com  >>> To: brad.woodside@fredericton.ca; whalen@fredericton.ca;  >>> david.kelly@fredericton.ca; cathy.maclaggan@fredericton.ca;  >>> stephen.kelly@fredericton.ca; tom.jellinek@fredericton.ca;  >>> scott.mcconaghy@fredericton.ca; marilyn.kerton@fredericton.ca;  >>> walter.brown@fredericton.ca; norah.davidson@fredericton.ca;  >>> mike.obrien@fredericton.ca; bruce.grandy@fredericton.ca;  >>> dan.keenan@fredericton.ca; jeff.mockler@gnb.ca;  >>> mrichard@lawsociety-barreau.nb.ca; cynthia.merlini@dfait-maeci.gc.ca;  >>> jlmockler@mpor.ca; scotta@parl.gc.ca; michael.bray@gnb.ca;  >>> jack.e.mackay@gnb.ca  >>> Cc: news@dailygleaner.com; kcarmichael@bloomberg.net;  >>> oldmaison@yahoo.com; advocacycollective@yahoo.com;  >>> Easter.W@parl.gc.ca; Comartin.J@parl.gc.ca; cityadmin@fredericton.ca;  >>> info@gg.ca; bmosher@mosherchedore.ca; rchedore@mosherchedore.ca;  >>> police@fredericton.ca; chebert@thestar.ca; Stoffer.P@parl.gc.ca;  >>> Stronach.B@parl.gc.ca; Matthews.B@parl.gc.ca; alltrue@nl.rogers.com;  >>> Harper.S@parl.gc.ca; Layton.J@parl.gc.ca; Dryden.K@parl.gc.ca;  >>> Duceppe.G@parl.gc.ca  >>> Sent: Tuesday, May 22, 2007 10:37:04 PM  >>> Subject: I promised one of the Fat Fred City cop Randy Reilly that I  >>> would try to make him famous  >>>  >>> http://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=davidraymondamos&search=Search  >>>  >>> A man is only as good as his word EH? To bad priests, bankers,  >>> politicians, lawyers and cops can't claim the same N'est Pas  >>>  >>> http://actionlyme.org/FBI_WIRETAPE_TAPES.htm  >>>  >>> FEDERAL EXPRESS February 7, 2006  >>>  >>> Senator Arlen Specter  >>> United States Senate  >>> Committee on the Judiciary  >>> 224 Dirksen Senate Office Building  >>> Washington, DC 20510  >>>  >>> Dear Mr. Specter:  >>>  >>> I have been asked to forward the enclosed tapes to you from a man  >>> named, David Amos, a Canadian citizen, in connection with the matters  >>> raised in the attached letter. Mr. Amos has represented to me that  >>> these are illegal FBI wire tap tapes. I believe Mr. Amos has been in  >>> contact with you about this previously.  >>>  >>> Very truly yours,  >>> Barry A. Bachrach  >>> Direct telephone: (508) 926-3403  >>> Direct facsimile: (508) 929-3003  >>> Email: bbachrach@bowditch.com  >>>  >>>  >>>  >>> http://davidamos.blogspot.com/.  >>>  >>> Paulette Delaney-Smith Paulette.Delaney-Smith@rcmp-grc.gc.ca wrote:  >>> David,  >>>  >>> I received your voice mail, I have been transferred to another unit  >>> and I am unaware of who is dealing with your complaints at this time.  >>>  >>> Paulette Delaney-Smith, Cpl.  >>> RCMPolice "J" DIvision HQ  >>>  >>>  >>>  >>> http://gypsy-blog.blogspot.com/2008/03/media-restrains-itself-inexplicably.html  >>>  >>> Threat against Burke taken seriously  >>>  >>> By STEPHEN LLEWELLYN  >>> dgleg@nb.aibn.com  >>> Published Thursday May 24th, 2007  >>> Appeared on page A1  >>> An RCMP security detail has been guarding Justice Minister and  >>> Attorney General T.J. Burke because of threats made against him  >>> recently.  >>>  >>> Burke, the Liberal MLA for Fredericton-Fort Nashwaaksis, wouldn't  >>> explain the nature of the threats.  >>>  >>> "I have had a particular individual or individuals who have made  >>> specific overtures about causing harm towards me," he told reporters  >>> Wednesday.  >>>  >>> "The RCMP has provided security to me recently by accompanying me to a  >>> couple of public functions where the individual is known to reside or  >>> have family members in the area," said Burke. "It is nice to have  >>> some  >>> added protection and that added comfort."  >>>  >>> The RCMP provides protection to the premier and MLAs with its VIP  >>> security  >>> unit.  >>>  >>> Burke didn't say when the threat was made but it's believed to have  >>> been in recent weeks.  >>>  >>> "When a threat is posed to you and it is a credible threat, you have  >>> to be cautious about where you go and who you are around," he said.  >>> "But again, I am more concerned about my family as opposed to my own  >>> personal safety."  >>>  >>> Burke said he doesn't feel any differently and he has not changed his  >>> pattern of activity.  >>>  >>> "It doesn't bother me one bit," he said. "It makes my wife  >>> feel awful nervous."  >>>  >>> Burke served in an elite American military unit before becoming a  >>> lawyer and going into politics in New Brunswick.  >>>  >>> "(I) have taken my own precautions and what I have to do to ensure my  >>> family's safety," he said. "I am a very cautious person in  >>> general due  >>> to my background and training.  >>>  >>> "I am comfortable with defending myself or my family if it ever had to  >>> happen."  >>>  >>> Burke said it is not uncommon for politicians to have security concerns.  >>>  >>> "We do live unfortunately in an age and in a society now where threats  >>> have to be taken pretty seriously," he said.  >>>  >>> Since the terrorism attacks in the United States on Sept. 11, 2001,  >>> security in New Brunswick has been  >>> beefed up.  >>>  >>> Metal detectors were recently installed in the legislature and all  >>> visitors are screened.  >>>  >>> The position of attorney general is often referred to as the  >>> province's "top cop."  >>>  >>> Burke said sometimes people do not differentiate between his role as  >>> the manager of the justice system and the individual who actually  >>> prosecutes them.  >>>  >>> "With the job sometimes comes threats," he said. "I have had  >>> numerous  >>> threats since Day 1 in office."  >>>  >>> Burke said he hopes his First Nations heritage has nothing to do with  >>> it.  >>>  >>> "I think it is more of an issue where people get fixated on a matter  >>> and they believe you are personally responsible for assigning them  >>> their punishment or their sanction," he said.  >>>  >>> Is the threat from someone who was recently incarcerated?  >>>  >>> "I probably shouldn't answer that," he replied.  >>>  >>> Reporters asked when the threat would be over.  >>>  >>> "I don't think a threat ever passes once it has been made," said  >>> Burke. "You have to consider the credibility of the source."  >>>  >>> Bruce Fitch, former justice minister in the Conservative government,  >>> said "every now and again there would be e-mails that were not  >>> complimentary."  >>>  >>> "I did have a meeting with the RCMP who are in charge of the security  >>> of the MLAs and ministers," said Fitch.  >>>  >>> "They look at each and every situation."  >>>  >>> Fitch said he never had bodyguards assigned to him although former  >>> premier Bernard Lord and former health minister Elvy Robichaud did  >>> have extra security staff assigned on occasion.  >>>  >>> He said if any MLA felt threatened, he or she would discuss it with the  >>> RCMP.  >> rcmp hospital.pdf 208K View as HTMLScan and download