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N.B. COVID-19 roundup: Province reports no new cases

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Replying to @alllibertynews and 49 others


Methinks Higgy was very foolish indeed to allow his buddy to tease me about my not having a Medicare Card during his pandemic scare N'esy Pas?



https://davidraymondamos3.blogspot.com/2020/04/nb-covid-19-roundup-province-reports-no.html








https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/covid-19-coronavirus-pandemic-1.5531388




N.B. COVID-19 roundup: Province reports no new cases

So far, there are 116 cases of COVID-19 in the province


Elizabeth Fraser· CBC News· Posted: Apr 14, 2020 12:04 PM AT



The province recently released its COVID-19 projections, estimating between 550 and 1,750 people could die in the next 18 to 24 months.  (NIAID-RML/The Associated Press/The Canadian Press)

There are no new cases of COVID-19 in New Brunswick, according to the province's chief medical officer of health.

The number of COVID-19 cases remains at 116 in the province.

"We're definitely moving in the right direction but we haven't reached our final destination," Dr. Jennifer Russell said at her regular briefing on Tuesday.


Earlier Tuesday, and infection control epidemiologist said New Brunswick could be on the verge of peaking in COVID-19 cases.

Colin Furness, a professor at the University of Toronto, said New Brunswick is managing to flatten its curve "incredibly well," but the province will likely see some deaths related to the virus.

"When death starts to happen and the proportion of cases that end up in deaths goes up, that means you're getting toward the end," Furness said.


There's a lot of confusion about face masks now. Here are your top questions answered by chief medical officer of health Dr. Jennifer Russell.  4:39

But New Brunswick could be unique, in that it has managed to avoid community spread relatively well, he said.

"It looks like you're through the peak and that you never got high community spread. And that although you can expect to see a few deaths, it's not going to be anywhere near what the provincial modelling numbers were saying last week."

The government released its COVID-19 projections last week, predicting between 550 and 1,750 people could die in the next 18 to 24 months.


Between 15 and 132 people could die this month alone, the projections suggested.

What happens over the next month will depend on how well the province restricts travel.



In the large-impact scenario, New Brunswick could experience up to 132 deaths by the end of April. (Government of New Brunswick)

"How New Brunswick handles new cases coming into [the province], I think is the big determinant," he said.

But Furness also said it's difficult for Canada, or any country, to determine how low numbers need to be so governments can lift restrictions.


The acute care hospitalizations, illustrated here, and other projections, show potential outcomes up to April 30, beyond which the government says modelling become less reliable. (Government of New Brunswick)

About one-third of all cases never show symptoms, which makes it difficult to know when it's safe to ease emergency measures.

"It's cause for concern that we're testing in a way that doesn't match the way the virus works."


Here is a roundup of other developments.

Why Saint John reinstated bus and parking fees

The City of Saint John says it has been forced to reinstate bus fares and parking regulations, after they were suspended last month because of the COVID-19 pandemic
.
Mayor Don Darling said Tuesday that bus fares had to be reintroduced because the city's financial situation is impossible to maintain otherwise.

"Fare collection was suspended because we didn't have a mechanism to collect it in a safe way," Darling said.

Beginning Tuesday, bus fares will be collected through Plexiglas barriers.
"We simply cannot afford to not collect some level of fare for the bus," Darling said.


Potential financial losses from transit alone would have reached up to $1 million if the fare had continued to be free.

Plexiglas barriers are still being installed on all city buses. On buses with barriers, passengers must enter through the front door to pay the fare.


Premier Blaine Higgs said a total of 17 tickets were issued over the past week to people not complying with the province's emergency order. (Submitted by the Government of New Brunswick)

Passengers are not required to pay a fare on the buses that don't have Plexiglas. On those buses, passengers should enter through the rear door.

March bus passes are valid for the month of April.


There are 116 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in New Brunswick. (CBC)

The Saint John Parking Commission has started enforcing on and off street parking regulations, including alternate-side parking, accessible parking, and monthly parking.

Market Square and Peel Plaza are operational and fee collection has also resumed.



Students transitioning to online learning


Teachers are reaching out to students this week to lay out the final 10 weeks of classes, if they haven't already.

The Anglophone West School District conducted a telephone survey to find out how many students don't have access to reliable technology or stable internet for online learning. About 200 of the 8,600 people who responded don't have adequate access.

David McTimoney, superintendent of the Anglophone West School District, said the district will stay in touch with those students over the phone.

He said he has been working on preparations for online coursework with teachers and collaborating with other superintendents.

"We're ready to roll ahead with that continuity of learning and looking forward to it," McTimoney said.
"We want to make sure students aren't disadvantaged when it comes to rolling out [the work]."

What to do if you have symptoms?

People concerned they might have COVID-19 can take a self-assessment on the government website. Symptoms of coronavirus include fever, a new or worsening cough, and breathlessness, as well as sore throat, headache and runny nose. People with two of those symptoms are asked to:
  • Stay at home.
  • Immediately call Tele-Care 811.
  • Describe symptoms and travel history.
  • Follow instructions carefully.

About the Author


Elizabeth Fraser
Reporter/Editor
Elizabeth Fraser is a reporter/editor with CBC New Brunswick based in Fredericton. She's originally from Manitoba. Story tip? elizabeth.fraser@cbc.ca
With files from Sarah Morin






126 Comments





David Amos
Methinks Higgy was very foolish indeed to allow his buddy to tease me about my not having a Medicare Card during his pandemic scare N'esy Pas? 


Ray Oliver
Reply to @David Amos: Do you get denied service? But you get a bill. And you promptly pay I'm sure. Last time I checked half of nothing is still nothing N'esy Pas? A leech on the system but hate it all the way to the grave, how warm am I??


David Amos 
Reply to @Ray Oliver: A leech on the system??? Oh My My
David Amos 
Reply to @David Amos: Methinks you should ask Higgy et al if I have ever taken one dime of welfare or EI and whether or not I pay my Health Care bills, my property taxes and my NB Power bills in a timely fashion N'esy Pas?
David Amos 

Content disabled
Reply to @Ray Oliver: Methinks we should not forget the"Poofed" thread in which you bragged that I had taken your bait today or the one yesterday in which I said about why you were not TJ because of you Freudian Slip As I said 2 days ago anyone can Google "T.J. Burke letter played like a fiddle" to review how I love playing corrupt cops and lawyers like a fiddle N'esy Pas?


























 
David Amos 
Methinks it is interesting that Higgy answers the French questions in English I bet that upsets Mr Comeau and his cohorts N'esy Pas?

Rob Sense
Reply to @David Amos:
if your english question was answered in french i bet that would upset you.



Ray Oliver
Reply to @Rob Sense: everything upsets him. Hopefully it won't trigger an episode and start into a govt emailing fury.
 
David Amos
Reply to @Rob Sense: Methinks some folks would understand why common sense is telling me that you are not whom you purport to be Hence you are not being sincere N'esy Pas?  


David Amos
Reply to @Ray Oliver: Methinks just yesterday you begged me for an email and admitted that you enjoyed reading them N'esy Pas?  


Ray Oliver
They're a riot. You play that game totally the wrong way. They won't take someone serious who uses nicknames and the tone you take. Be polite. Be concise. Lay out the facts. Get them were you want them then put the screws to them smiling the entire time. Name calling will just get your hunt for justice thrown in the Spam folder whether you have the "goods" or not. 


David Amos
Reply to @Ray Oliver: Methinks the RCMP and Higgy can't deny you read them N'esy Pas?






























David Amos
Yea Right Tell me another one Higgy


Terry Tibbs
Reply to @David Amos:
Isn't that what politics is all about? The guy with the best "story" is a hero?



Ray Oliver 
Reply to @David Amos: I know one thing he will never tell ya. Here is your Medicare card David! Haha


David Amos 
Reply to @Ray Oliver: I doubt your hero Higgy finds it not so funny anymore


Ray Oliver 
Reply to @David Amos: No I'm sure hes having a good laugh. I know I am



























James Risdon
Canada has already passed the peak of this pandemic and I expect 95 per cent of this to be wrapped up by June 24.


Bob Smith
Reply to @James Risdon: Nothing is wrapped up until there is a viable vaccine available. Relaxation of certain measures may be coming but other parts of society may stay changed for some time...


June Arnott 
Reply to @James Risdon: not according to the experts of the WHO. But thank you for your thoughts Dr.


Chris McNee 
Reply to @James Risdon: Nope. As long as theirs no vaccine it’s around. HIV still has no vaccine


James Risdon 
Reply to @June Arnott: I never purported to be physician. I am just someone who can read and think.

Of course, an appeal to authority is a logical fallacy. If you disagree with my conclusion, it would be more logical to address the specific points with which you disagree rather than attempt to suggest that my conclusion is invalid simply because I am not a medical authority.



James Risdon  
Reply to @Chris McNee: I never claimed Covid-19 would be wiped out by then. I said it would be 95 per cent over.

Read carefully.



John Holmes 
Reply to @James Risdon: With as many as 1 in 3 being carriers that never manifest symptoms, this won't be over until we test every single citizen and develop a vaccine or it will just keep looping again and again.


James Risdon 
Reply to @John Holmes: On what basis do you conclude that one in three Canadians is a carrier of Covid-19?


Gabriel Boucher 
Reply to @James Risdon:
I'm not sure where you're pulling these numbers from. I'm assuming that June 24th is referring to the summer days ahead and you're hoping that the virus will be killed by exposure to heat. What I will say to that is to look at countries south of the equator like Australia and New Zealand. Heat did not save them from transmission.



Ray Oliver  
Reply to @James Risdon: On what basis did you select 95% and by the very specific date of June 24th? You think pretty highly of yourself dont you


James Risdon
Reply to @Gabriel Boucher: I am looking at the numbers for the daily increase in cases of Covid-19 in Canada, as reported by the CBC and Macleans magazine. Both of those graphs show the rate at which new cases are appearing hit a peak on Wednesday last week and is now declining.

That's the leading indicator of this pandemic. The total number of cases is a trailing indicator, but it's the one number everyone freaks out over. The reason the total number of cases is a trailing indicator is because it takes time for these people to either heal or die.

The rate of new cases, however, is a leading indicator. Roughly two weeks after we see a decline in the rate of new cases, we will see a drop in the total number of cases as the people who heal or die after being infected outstrip the number of new people being infected.

Working on the assumption that the distribution of the cases is essentially a bell shape and projecting forward from the number of weeks we've already had Covid-19, I predict the total number of cases reach the low, trailing levels on June 24



James Risdon
Reply to @Ray Oliver: If you look at the reply I just wrote for Gabriel Boucher, it should answer your question.

And, yes, I suppose I do. I'd be a fool to think otherwise.



Ray Oliver 
Reply to @James Risdon: How modest and humble of you. Must be such a pleasure to be around. LOL people probably have no problem socially distancing around you


David Amos
Reply to @James Risdon: Methinks I see see two fools who deserve each other N'esy Pas?


Ray Oliver
Reply to @David Amos: You see see them do ya? Who's a smart boy


David Amos
Reply to @Ray Oliver: Not you fool  


Ray Oliver
Reply to @David Amos: A genius in his own mind. The voices tell him so EH!!! 

James Risdon
Reply to @Ray Oliver: I am not everyone's cup of tea. But, then again, who is?


James Risdon
Reply to @Ray Oliver: Ray, if you have an intelligent objection to anything I have stated, I am happy to consider it. It does not you any favours to come across as mocking people simply because you disagree with them without so much as putting forth a rational, reasonable statement for your disagreement.


Ray Oliver 
Reply to @James Risdon: Well until a vaccine is developed this will linger. Herd immunity for healthy individuals not in the risk category is the only way to return to some sense of "normalcy". The emergency was placed so as not to overwhelm the health care industry. NB has been successful to date. Loosen restrictions and start antibody testing but keep those borders closed. Our efforts in NB should not be nullified by Ontario and the likes still struggling. There, my view minus the sarcasm.


Chris McNee 
Reply to @James Risdon: I did read carefully. So we currently have 116 confirmed cases, therefor by your figure we will have only 5 or 6 cases by June 24th?


Ray Oliver  
Reply to @James Risdon: I can't put dates and percentages on it. Even the experts are guessing. Our predictions in NB last week had a wide wide scope. I found it comical actually. Polling numbers on such a fickle virus where one funeral alone in NFLD passed it to what, 100 others? How does one put some accurate numbers behind something like that. Ya can't.


James Risdon
Reply to @Chris McNee: My prediction is for Canada as a whole.


James Risdon
Reply to @Ray Oliver: Have you read the explanation I provided to Gabriel?


David Amos 
Reply to @Chris McNee: Methinks you should ask Higgy and his cohorts what happened at Chucky Leblanc's beloved "Old Maison" in Fat Fred City on June 24th, 2004. I trust that we may rest assured that a former Irving journalist who later ran under the banner of the KISS Party in the last election never will N'esy Pas?


Ray Oliver 
Reply to @James Risdon: All it takes is one person to blow it all wide open again. But I hope your math is right. Heck even sooner be great 


James Risdon
Reply to @David Amos: I have no idea what it is that you're yammering about.



Chris McNee
Reply to @James Risdon: I agree, if one disagree and raises a different point of view that’s decent, but no need for people to offer unneeded rude replies.
Ray Oliver 
Reply to @James Risdon: I think he thinks he knows you and you should remember him. Hes a big time player in the political uprising, you didn't get the memo?
James Risdon
Reply to @Ray Oliver: I must be out of the loop. ;-)
David Amos 
Reply to @James Risdon: Methinks If you wish to continue to play dumb after all these years why not ask your former Party leader or your former Irving bosses or your new pen pal N'esy Pas?
























 
Johnny Almar
We will open back up when Donald Trump says so. Yes we will follow the US lead on this.

Brian Decker
Reply to @Johnny Almar: I personally have WAY more faith in Canadians than that!


David Amos 
Reply to @Brian Decker: Your hero Higgy knows why I don't


Ray Oliver 
Reply to @David Amos: Because an individual leans a certain way politically for party values doesn't mean "Higgy" is his hero. You dont have faith in anything except your theories


Brian Decker 
Reply to @David Amos: I'm sure Premier Higgs knows that you are from another solar system and what you feel about Canada is irrelevant.


David Amos 
Reply to @Brian Decker: Who are you really???


Brian Decker 
Reply to @David Amos: Someone who is proud of New Brunswick and no matter what my political leanings are, can give credit where credit is due and appreciates the way that our elected officials et al are handling this situation. I'm also quite proud of most of my fellow New Brunswicker's for the seriousness with which they are treating this situation and trying to bring this to some sort of eventual end or at least retreat. I am not a person who finds fault with absolutely everything. I try to do my part and contribute to the solution. Now let's talk about you.........nah  


Ray Oliver
Reply to @Brian Decker: Well said! Awaiting an intelligent rebuttal but I won't hold my breath


David Amos 
Reply to @Brian Decker: Why don't you use your real name???


Brian Decker 
Reply to @David Amos: I am DS


David Amos 
Reply to @Brian Decker: BS


David Amos 
Reply to @Brian Decker: DS has more class than you






























mike huffman
This is just the beginning! Stuck in the house over 30 days and getting crazy! This is a result of Globalization, Greedy Corporations and Short minded self serving Politicians in charge of world affairs! We deserve what we get, as we elect these people .Stuck in the house over 30 days and getting crazy.As a result of Globalization, cheap useless short life span goods and staggering high profits for corporations! The world is changing more and more with faster speed than we expected! More disaster and natural events are happening more rapidly and often than ever expected! As people have very short memories It will repeat itself over and over again. After this is over new diseases will come again and we are not prepared to face new challenges. Politicians should stop taking money from corporations to get elected! Stop running Corproment (Corporate Controlled Governments)! Stop putting big corporations before the peoples lives! Stop destroying the environments in the name of the economy!


Ray Oliver 
Reply to @mike huffman: You should meet David. I feel like you'd become fast friends


Carlos Urtubia 
Reply to @Ray Oliver: Well...it's not totally wrong...we should be more self sufficient than bringing everything from China. Good thing that in NB not a lot of people comes.

 
June Arnott 
Reply to @Ray Oliver: he is right though. Sad you can’t see that


Ray Oliver
Reply to @June Arnott: I do it was his delivery. Rant style. David's specialty.


June Arnott  
Reply to @mike huffman: true but people are like zombies and forget what life is, that we need clean water to live, and balance.


Tom Simmons 
Reply to @mike huffman: Unless that is the plan, to destroy western world and enslave us all...or worse....Georgia Guide Stones..


June Arnott 
Reply to @Ray Oliver: oh ok, thankful. Ya, Amos does tend to rant. Pretty funny.


Ray Oliver
Reply to @June Arnott: I posted something very similar but mine went "poof" to quote a certain person


June Arnott
Reply to @Ray Oliver: too funny


Ian Scott 
Reply to @mike huffman: Another Greta bring it all to a halt . People have short memories alright. Floods have always been here, storms happen. Idiots build on flood plains and put trails where they get torn up and boardwalks right on ocean edge. Corporate donations are already limited, you should look at union directives to members as to who says what and where to personally donate . They fly on the who is giving us more money hell with everything else.So maybe take a look at public service just as much as corporations.There are only a few big ones. The rest are small business , the best at employment and innovation.


David Amos
Reply to @June Arnott: Why is it I am not laughing at your malicious nonsense? 
 

David Amos
Reply to @mike huffman: How do you do 


Jim Cyr
Reply to @mike huffman: Spot on. We got our cheap TVs, alright........Unfortunately, those cheap TVs (as an example) ended up costing us a total shutdown of society for three or four months, and thousands of deaths.

Paul Estey
Reply to @Jim Cyr: dont forget everyone the goods that go to those overseas markets from Canada....we are in a Global network and that is only going to increase in the years to come....without this trade think where we would be...in worse shape than we currently are...


Jim Cyr 
Reply to @Paul Estey: Globalism and One-Worldism benefits the Elite............hugely. It crushes every one else, in the end. A little coronavirus, scarecrow??........
 

Jim Johnston
Reply to @Jim Cyr: For you information tvs have not been made in Canada since the early 70s. They were all being made in the Philippines, Taiwan, Malaysia, Singapore and Indonesia. 




























Kevin Chaulk
Seems a little odd, are they testing many people there. NB surrounded by Quebec (14,248) NS (517) and Maine (734) all with much higher cases...so what gives?


David Amos 
Reply to @Kevin Chaulk: Methinks you should ask Higgy's buddy Ray Oliver because he thinks he knows everything N'esy Pas?

Reply to @David Amos: I do know one thing. You take the bait every single time.
David Amos
Reply to @Ray Oliver:" I know one thing he will never tell ya. Here is your Medicare card David! Haha"

Methinks if you did not have a Medicare Card you would not be laughing N'esy Pas?
Ray Oliver 
Reply to @David Amos: I'm sure there is a very valid reason for it. You're not the sole individual in NB I'm sure in this position and it's of your own creation
Carlos Urtubia 
Reply to @Kevin Chaulk: The areas closer to NB almost don't have cases. Maine's counties around NB had 1 case each. The QB areas on the north are also miles away from any bigger city...you need to go hours from Edmunston to Riviere du loup...
QB cases are mainly in Montreal, Maine cases are mainly on the south....
 
David Amos
Reply to @Ray Oliver: BS
Johnny Almar 
Reply to @Carlos Urtubia: A lot of it has to do with US & provincial border shut downs. If we had of done the same to air traffic & cruise ships earlier we may have done even better.

Still though, we know we are in this for at least another two weeks. So time to hammer down and stay away from people
Bo Zam 
Reply to @Ray Oliver: And i thought they banned fishing season... Seems the big mouth bass are biting :)
June Arnott 
Reply to @Kevin Chaulk: correct,they were not testing many, now that might change with the new guidelines
Kevin Chaulk 
Reply to @June Arnott: Several provinces with low numbers are doing very little testing, NB, NL, MB, and SK. Especially in areas outside of the cities and larger towns.
Jim Cyr 
Reply to @Kevin Chaulk: Good leadership from the start. On the other hand, my state, Maine, has a liberal governor who appointed a terrible state CDC director (with a very checkered past.............When he was in a similar position in Illinois, he failed to contain Legionnaire's Disease when it spread through The State Veteran's Nursing Home for years, while trying to cover it up and not let even families know it was happening. 13 people died....) The governor and Maine CDC director both made it clear from the start that they would NOT do anything as "draconian" and "mean" as what Higgs did................it was more important to be "nice and welcoming" than to attack the pandemic. (They actually said that). SMH. So we ended up importing tons of cases from Massachusetts and NY......but we did make a polite request to "PLEASE don't go around other people.....". Sometimes I wish that my part of the start (northern Maine) was part of NB............. 
Jim Cyr
Reply to @Carlos Urtubia: Correct. My county in Maine has had two cases for the last week. And it's a huge county.
SarahRose Werner 
Reply to @Kevin Chaulk: Population is a large factor. Nb, with 15 cases per 100,000 people, looks like PEI (16 per 100,000) or Manitoba (18). Saskatchewan has 26, Newfoundland & Labrador 47, Maine 47 and Nova Scotia 54. Quebec is a disaster, with more cases than Ontario even though it's got a smaller population.
David Amos
Reply to @Jim Cyr: Who should care about Yankees when they don't care about us???
David Amos
Reply to @Bo Zam: Who has the big mouth? 
 

Vernon McPhee
Reply to @Carlos Urtubia: And I finally saw some detail numbers on NS and Cumberland Health Authority had no cases as well. Being far from Halifax has finally paid off. 






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